Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 65.06%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 14.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
Result | ||
Girona | Draw | Cadiz |
65.06% ( -0.05) | 20.37% ( 0.01) | 14.57% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 49.18% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.49% ( 0.03) | 45.51% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.16% ( 0.03) | 67.84% ( -0.03) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.8% ( -0) | 13.2% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.07% ( -0.01) | 39.93% ( 0) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.66% ( 0.07) | 43.34% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.42% ( 0.06) | 79.58% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Girona | Draw | Cadiz |
2-0 @ 11.72% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 11.58% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.62% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.35% 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.62% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.89% Total : 65.04% | 1-1 @ 9.69% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.86% Total : 20.37% | 0-1 @ 4.78% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 1.47% Total : 14.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 16 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
12 | GironaGirona | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Sevilla | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
15 | Leganes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |