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La Liga | Gameweek 28
Mar 9, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
Atletico Madrid logo

Cadiz
2 - 0
Atletico

Juanmi (24', 64')
Juanmi (31'), Sobrino (48'), Alcaraz (71'), Alejo (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Depay (30'), Molina (52'), Morata (62'), Vermeeren (84'), Llorente (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Cadiz
Saturday, March 2 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Cadiz 0-1 Atletico Madrid

Atletico's away form this season has been disappointing, but they will fancy their chances of beating their relegation-threatened opponents on Saturday. Cadiz have drawn a league-high 13 games this term, but we are expecting Simeone's side to navigate their way to all three points this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 47.43%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 25.89%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.16%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
CadizDrawAtletico Madrid
25.89% (-0.149 -0.15) 26.68% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 47.43% (0.168 0.17)
Both teams to score 47.71% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.51% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)56.49% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.51% (-0.029 -0.03)77.49% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.64% (-0.151 -0.15)37.36% (0.153 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.85% (-0.15 -0.15)74.15% (0.15300000000001 0.15)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.16% (0.063000000000002 0.06)23.84% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.98% (0.088000000000001 0.09)58.02% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Cadiz 25.89%
    Atletico Madrid 47.43%
    Draw 26.67%
CadizDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 8.77% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-1 @ 6.19% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.32% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.03% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.46% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.42% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 25.89%
1-1 @ 12.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.91% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 26.67%
0-1 @ 12.77% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 9.16% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.01% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.38% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.31% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.57% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.54% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 47.43%

How you voted: Cadiz vs Atletico

Cadiz
6.9%
Draw
14.7%
Atletico Madrid
78.4%
102
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 8
Atletico
3-2
Cadiz
Correa (32', 66'), Molina (46')
Koke (12')
Pires (12'), Marti (27')
Marti (39'), Sobrino (90+2'), Kouame (90+3')
May 3, 2023 9pm
Gameweek 33
Atletico
5-1
Cadiz
Griezmann (2', 27'), Morata (49'), Carrasco (57' pen.), Molina (73')
Lozano (72')
Oct 29, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 12
Cadiz
3-2
Atletico
Bongonda (1'), Fernandez (81'), Sobrino (90+9')
Hernandez (85' og.), Felix (89')
Aug 4, 2022 8pm
Club Friendlies
Cadiz
1-4
Atletico
Gimenez (87')
Cala (21'), Gil (45+1'), Fali (45+1')
Morata (13'), Niguez (45'), Wass (46'), Griezmann (51')
Griezmann (56')
Mar 11, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 28
Atletico
2-1
Cadiz
Felix (3'), De Paul (68')
De Paul (30'), Carrasco (35'), Mandava (41'), Simeone (41'), Savic (90+1')
Serrano (88')
Negredo (45')
Sobrino (33')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
 
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
5pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England11003
2 Denmark Denmark10101
3 Slovenia Slovenia10101
4 Serbia Serbia10010

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 France France11003
3 Poland Poland10010
4 Austria Austria10010

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania11003
2 Slovakia Slovakia11003
3 Belgium Belgium10010
4 Ukraine Ukraine10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Turkey Turkey11003
2 Portugal Portugal11003
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic10010
4 Georgia Georgia10010


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