![Inter logo Inter logo](https://sm.imgix.net/19/06/intlog.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Feb 20, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
![Atletico Madrid logo Atletico Madrid logo](https://sm.imgix.net/19/06/atllog.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
Inter Milan1 - 0Atletico
The Match
Match Report
Marko Arnautovic's second-half strike propels Inter Milan to a 1-0 first-leg win over Atletico Madrid in their Champions League last-16 tie.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Inter Milan and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Inter Milan 4-0 Salernitana
Friday, February 16 at 8pm in Serie A
Friday, February 16 at 8pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atletico 5-0 Las Palmas
Saturday, February 17 at 1pm in La Liga
Saturday, February 17 at 1pm in La Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 60.89%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 17.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for an Atletico Madrid win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Inter Milan in this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
60.89% (![]() | 21.17% (![]() | 17.93% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.01% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.13% (![]() | 42.87% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.73% (![]() | 65.27% (![]() |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.39% (![]() | 13.61% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.24% (![]() | 40.76% (![]() |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.52% (![]() | 37.48% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.74% (![]() | 74.26% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan 60.88%
Atletico Madrid 17.93%
Draw 21.17%
Inter Milan | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 10.17% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.14% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.96% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.74% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.62% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.36% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.3% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.25% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.34% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.32% ( ![]() Other @ 3.07% Total : 60.88% | 1-1 @ 9.98% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.1% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.89% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.17% | 0-1 @ 5.01% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.9% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.46% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.6% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.6% ( ![]() Other @ 2.37% Total : 17.93% |
How you voted: Inter Milan vs Atletico
Inter Milan
65.1%Draw
19.7%Atletico Madrid
15.2%461
Head to Head
Aug 11, 2018 8.05pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-20 10:54:21
Thursday, June 20
2pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
vs.
Serbia
5pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
England
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
2pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Ukraine
5pm
Group Stage
Poland
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
France
Saturday, June 22
2pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Czech Republic
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Portugal
8pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Romania
Sunday, June 23
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Hungary
8pm
Group Stage
Switzerland
vs.
Germany
Monday, June 24
8pm
Group Stage
Albania
vs.
Spain
8pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Italy
Tuesday, June 25
5pm
Group Stage
France
vs.
Poland
5pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
Serbia
8pm
Group Stage
England
vs.
Slovenia
Wednesday, June 26
5pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Romania
5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Group Stage
Czech Republic
vs.
Turkey
8pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Portugal
Saturday, June 29
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group A
vs.
2nd Group C
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group D
vs.
2nd Group E
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
![Tables header RHS Tables header RHS](https://sm.imgix.net/23/25/tables-header-rhs.jpg?w=300&h=46)
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
2 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
3 | ![]() | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
4 | ![]() | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | ![]() | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
2 | ![]() | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
3 | ![]() | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
4 | ![]() | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1
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2
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3
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4
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5
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6
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7
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8
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9
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10
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