MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 11:06:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
Alaves logo
Athletic Bilbao logo
Atletico Madrid logo
Barcelona logo
Celta Vigo logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Las Palmas
Leganes logo
Mallorca logo
Osauna logo
Rayo Vallecano logo
Real Betis logo
Real Madrid logo
Real Sociedad logo
Real Valladolid logo
Sevilla logo
Valencia logo
Villarreal logo
La Liga header desktop

La Liga
Atletico Madrid logo
La Liga | Gameweek 22
Jan 28, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Valencia logo

Atletico
2 - 0
Valencia

Lino (45+5'), Depay (57')
Molina (49'), Niguez (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 1-0 Sevilla
Thursday, January 25 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Valencia

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 1-0 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, January 20 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Atletico Madrid 1-0 Valencia

 It is almost 13 years since Valencia last beat Atletico away in the league, so it is very difficult to back them to win this game even considering their strong form. Atletico's home record this season has been excellent, meanwhile, and we are expecting Simeone's side to edge a close game here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 55.85%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 20.13%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawValencia
55.85% (0.802 0.8) 24.02% (-0.357 -0.36) 20.13% (-0.445 -0.45)
Both teams to score 48.81% (0.391 0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.3% (0.86 0.86)51.7% (-0.86 -0.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.52% (0.739 0.74)73.48% (-0.741 -0.74)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.63% (0.628 0.63)18.37% (-0.629 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.5% (1.055 1.06)49.5% (-1.056 -1.06)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.79% (0.018999999999998 0.02)40.2% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.16% (0.016999999999999 0.02)76.84% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 55.84%
    Valencia 20.13%
    Draw 24.02%
Atletico MadridDrawValencia
1-0 @ 12.51% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-0 @ 10.6% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
3-0 @ 5.99% (0.155 0.16)
3-1 @ 5.46% (0.143 0.14)
4-0 @ 2.54% (0.115 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.066 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.31% (0.106 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 55.84%
1-1 @ 11.4% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 7.39% (-0.257 -0.26)
2-2 @ 4.4% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 24.02%
0-1 @ 6.73% (-0.23 -0.23)
1-2 @ 5.2% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.07% (-0.103 -0.1)
1-3 @ 1.58% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.34% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 0.93% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 20.13%

How you voted: Atletico vs Valencia

Atletico Madrid
83.5%
Draw
12.2%
Valencia
4.3%
115
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 5
Valencia
3-0
Atletico
Duro (5', 34'), Guerra (54')
Mamardashvili (56')

Hermoso (23'), Llorente (36'), Griezmann (37'), Niguez (74'), Barrios (86')
> Preview
Mar 18, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 26
Atletico
3-0
Valencia
Griezmann (23'), Carrasco (49'), Lemar (67')
> Preview
Aug 29, 2022 9pm
Gameweek 3
Valencia
0-1
Atletico

Maranhao (18'), Gattuso (26'), Correia (42'), Comert (76'), Perez (83')
Griezmann (66')
Niguez (14'), Simeone (26'), Mandava (27'), Felix (55')
> Preview
Jan 22, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 22
Atletico
3-2
Valencia
Cunha (64'), Correa (90+1'), Hermoso (90+3')
Koke (27'), Hermoso (37'), Suarez (82'), Herrera (84'), Gimenez (90+3')
Musah (25'), Duro (44')
Correia (14'), Foulquier (37'), Musah (43'), Guillamon (61'), Lato (65'), Domenech (83')
> Preview
Nov 7, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 13
Valencia
3-3
Atletico
Savic (50' og.), Duro (90+2', 90+6')
Guillamon (76'), Musah (90+4')
Suarez (35'), Griezmann (58'), Vrsaljko (62')
Carrasco (90'), Griezmann (90+5')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona18122450203038
2Atletico MadridAtletico17115131112038
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao1896327161133
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal167542827126
7Real Sociedad177461611525
8Osasuna176742225-325
9Real BetisBetis176652021-124
10GironaGirona176472325-222
11Sevilla176471823-522
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano165561819-120
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe173771114-316
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010
> La Liga Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!