La Liga | Gameweek 21
Jan 22, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes
We said: Granada 1-2 Atletico Madrid
Granada's best performances have come at home this season, while Atletico have not been too impressive on their travels. Granada will also be the fresher of the two sides, but we are still expecting Simeone's side to navigate their way to an important three points in Monday's fixture.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 45.87% . A win for Granada had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.9% .
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (7.71%) . The likeliest Granada win was 1-0 (7.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%) . The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.
Result Granada Draw Atletico Madrid 29.19% ( 0.78) 24.93% ( 0.18) 45.87% ( -0.96)
Both teams to score 55.41% ( -0.08)
52.41% ( -0.34) 47.58% ( 0.34)
30.21% ( -0.32) 69.79% ( 0.32)
69.96% ( 0.38) 30.04% ( -0.38)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 33.83% ( 0.46) 66.17% ( -0.46)
79.21% ( -0.56) 20.79% ( 0.56)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 46.56% ( -0.88) 53.44% ( 0.88)
Granada 29.19%
Atletico Madrid 45.87%
Draw 24.92%
Granada Draw Atletico Madrid 1-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.19% Total : 29.19% 1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.92% 0-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.27% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 7.71% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 4.85% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.66% Total : 45.87%
How you voted: Granada vs Atletico
Granada
Draw
Atletico Madrid
133
rhs 2.0
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