Copa del Rey | Round of 16
Jan 18, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Atletico4 - 2Real Madrid
The Match
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Thursday's Copa del Rey clash between Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa del Rey clash between Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Thursday's Copa del Rey last-16 clash with Atletico Madrid.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their Copa del Rey last-16 clash with Atletico Madrid on Thursday.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Real Madrid 5-3 Atletico
Wednesday, January 10 at 7pm in Supercopa de Espana
Wednesday, January 10 at 7pm in Supercopa de Espana
Last Game: Real Madrid 4-1 Barcelona
Sunday, January 14 at 7pm in Supercopa de Espana
Sunday, January 14 at 7pm in Supercopa de Espana
We say: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Real Madrid
While Atletico's overall form recently is nothing to write home about, Los Rojiblancos are on a remarkable 25-game unbeaten run at the Metropolitano Stadium - winning 11 of their last 12 at a ground where they have not lost in over a year. With Simeone's side also enjoying a longer recuperation period from their Middle Eastern endeavours, a jet-lagged Real will have their work cut out this time around and could very well see their Copa del Rey defence crash and burn against their vengeful rivals. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 36.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Real Madrid |
36.69% ( 0.28) | 25.12% ( 0.24) | 38.19% ( -0.52) |
Both teams to score 57.32% ( -0.83) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |