MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 17:36:38| >> :600:194387:194387:
Atletico Madrid logo
Copa del Rey | Round of 16
Jan 18, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Real Madrid logo

Atletico
4 - 2
Real Madrid

Lino (39'), Morata (57'), Griezmann (100'), Riquelme (119')
Morata (58'), Hermoso (68'), De Paul (78'), Koke (80'), Simeone (83'), Griezmann (101'), Witsel (113')
FT
(aet)
Oblak (45+1' og.), Joselu (82')
Junior (45'), Camavinga (56'), Diaz (68'), Tchouameni (85'), Bellingham (87'), Carvajal (89')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Thursday's Copa del Rey clash between Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa del Rey clash between Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Thursday's Copa del Rey last-16 clash with Atletico Madrid.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their Copa del Rey last-16 clash with Atletico Madrid on Thursday.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Madrid 5-3 Atletico
Wednesday, January 10 at 7pm in Supercopa de Espana
Last Game: Real Madrid 4-1 Barcelona
Sunday, January 14 at 7pm in Supercopa de Espana

We say: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Real Madrid

While Atletico's overall form recently is nothing to write home about, Los Rojiblancos are on a remarkable 25-game unbeaten run at the Metropolitano Stadium - winning 11 of their last 12 at a ground where they have not lost in over a year. With Simeone's side also enjoying a longer recuperation period from their Middle Eastern endeavours, a jet-lagged Real will have their work cut out this time around and could very well see their Copa del Rey defence crash and burn against their vengeful rivals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 36.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawReal Madrid
36.69% (0.285 0.28) 25.12% (0.236 0.24) 38.19% (-0.52 -0.52)
Both teams to score 57.32% (-0.83000000000001 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.78% (-1.08 -1.08)46.21% (1.08 1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.49% (-1.028 -1.03)68.51% (1.028 1.03)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.31% (-0.34 -0.34)24.69% (0.341 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.77% (-0.479 -0.48)59.23% (0.48 0.48)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.12% (-0.754 -0.75)23.88% (0.754 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.91% (-1.093 -1.09)58.08% (1.093 1.09)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 36.69%
    Real Madrid 38.19%
    Draw 25.12%
Atletico MadridDrawReal Madrid
2-1 @ 8.26% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.25% (0.293 0.29)
2-0 @ 5.77% (0.15 0.15)
3-1 @ 3.85% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.69% (0.044 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.0059999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 36.69%
1-1 @ 11.81% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-0 @ 5.9% (0.265 0.27)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.12%
1-2 @ 8.46% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
0-1 @ 8.44% (0.199 0.2)
0-2 @ 6.05% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.04% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-3 @ 2.89% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.82% (-0.116 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.45% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.045 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 38.19%

How you voted: Atletico vs Real Madrid

Atletico Madrid
30.2%
Real Madrid
69.8%
179
Head to Head
Jan 10, 2024 7pm
Semi-Finals
Real Madrid
5-3
Atletico
Rudiger (20'), Mendy (29'), Carvajal (85'), Joselu (116'), Diaz (120+2')
Diaz (120+3')
Hermoso (6'), Griezmann (37'), Rudiger (78' og.)
Sep 24, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 6
Atletico
3-1
Real Madrid
Morata (4', 46'), Griezmann (18')
Gimenez (45+1')
Kroos (35')
Modric (45'), Mendy (67'), Bellingham (90+5')
Feb 25, 2023 5.30pm
Jan 26, 2023 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Real Madrid
3-1
Atletico
Rodrygo (79'), Benzema (103'), Junior (120+1')
Morata (19')
Sep 18, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 6
Atletico
1-2
Real Madrid
Hermoso (83')
Rodrygo (18'), Valverde (36')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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