La Liga | Gameweek 17
Dec 16, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Balaidos
We said: Celta Vigo 2-1 Granada
This is a huge match at the bottom of the table, and it will be fascinating to see what develops this weekend. It would have been easy to pick another draw here, but we just have a feeling that Celta will be able to navigate their way to what would be a huge three points in front of their own supporters.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 54.47% . A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Granada had a probability of 20.68% .
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.48%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%) , while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (7.26%) . The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Celta Vigo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Celta Vigo.
Result Celta Vigo Draw Granada 54.47% ( -0.06) 24.85% ( 0.03) 20.68% ( 0.03)
Both teams to score 47.21% ( -0.05)
45.76% ( -0.08) 54.23% ( 0.08)
24.36% ( -0.07) 75.63% ( 0.06)
80.13% ( -0.06) 19.87% ( 0.05)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 48.02% ( -0.09) 51.98% ( 0.08)
58.92% ( -0.02) 41.07% ( 0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 22.38% ( -0.02) 77.62% ( 0.01)
Celta Vigo 54.46%
Granada 20.68%
Draw 24.85%
Celta Vigo Draw Granada 1-0 @ 13.18% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.65% 2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 54.46% 1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( -0) Other @ 0.74% Total : 24.85% 0-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.22% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.55% 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 1.21% Total : 20.68%
How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Granada
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rhs 2.0
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