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La Liga
Sevilla logo
La Liga | Gameweek 24
Feb 11, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Atletico Madrid logo

Sevilla
1 - 0
Atletico

Romero (15')
Suso (70'), En-Nesyri (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Witsel (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Sevilla
Monday, February 5 at 8pm in La Liga

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 0-1 Athletic Bilbao
Wednesday, February 7 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Sevilla 1-2 Atletico Madrid

 Sevilla will be full of confidence following their win over Rayo, and the hosts will also be the fresher of the two sides. Atletico are in desperate need of the points to keep themselves in the top four, though, and we are expecting Simeone's side to navigate their way through a tough game to secure a vital win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 38.1%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 36.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sevilla in this match.

Result
SevillaDrawAtletico Madrid
38.1% (-0.439 -0.44) 25.16% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08) 36.74% (0.517 0.52)
Both teams to score 57.19% (0.317 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.61% (0.396 0.4)46.39% (-0.395 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.33% (0.371 0.37)68.67% (-0.37 -0.37)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.99% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)24.01% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.73% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)58.26% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.26% (0.46899999999999 0.47)24.74% (-0.471 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.7% (0.652 0.65)59.3% (-0.653 -0.65)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 38.1%
    Atletico Madrid 36.74%
    Draw 25.15%
SevillaDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 8.47% (-0.156 -0.16)
2-1 @ 8.44% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.05% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-1 @ 4.02% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.88% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.81% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.43% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 38.1%
1-1 @ 11.83% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.94% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.9% (0.044 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 8.3% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.27% (0.074 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.79% (0.061 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.85% (0.086 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.75% (0.057 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.7% (0.065 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.048 0.05)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.033 0.03)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 36.74%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Atletico

Sevilla
10.4%
Draw
13.2%
Atletico Madrid
76.4%
144
Head to Head
Jan 25, 2024 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Atletico
1-0
Sevilla
Depay (79')
Gimenez (63'), Hermoso (71'), Koke (75'), Simeone (90+5')

Torres (33'), Ramos (39'), Pedrosa (62'), Lamela (73'), Rakitic (82'), Mir (90+8')
> Preview
Dec 23, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 4
Atletico
1-0
Sevilla
Llorente (46')
Molina (27'), Gimenez (38'), Witsel (77'), Correa (77'), De Paul (85'), Llorente (90+4'), Azpilicueta (90')
Soyuncu (70')

Suso (43'), Salas (68'), Ramos (83')
> Preview
Aug 6, 2023 3am
Club Friendlies
Sevilla
1-1
Atletico
Mir (66')
Jordan (57')
Correa (84')
Soyuncu (33')
Mar 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 24
Atletico
6-1
Sevilla
Depay (23', 26'), Griezmann (53'), Carrasco (69'), Morata (76', 90+2')
En-Nesyri (39')
> Preview
Oct 1, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 7
Sevilla
0-2
Atletico
Llorente (29'), Morata (57')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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