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Atletico Madrid logo
Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 13, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Inter logo

Atletico
2 - 1
Inter Milan

Griezmann (35'), Depay (87')
Hermoso (41'), Koke (90')
FT
(aet)
Dimarco (33')
Calhanoglu (104'), Acerbi (105+2'), Aurel Bisseck (118')
Atletico win 3-2 on penalties

The Match

Match Report

Atletico Madrid beat last season's finalists Inter Milan 3-2 on penalties to progress to the Champions League quarter-finals.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Atletico Madrid and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%).

Result
Atletico MadridDrawInter Milan
40.06% (2.074 2.07) 26.15% (0.642 0.64) 33.78% (-2.717 -2.72)
Both teams to score 53.35% (-2.576 -2.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.85% (-3.134 -3.13)51.14% (3.132 3.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.01% (-2.811 -2.81)72.99% (2.811 2.81)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.87% (-0.32000000000001 -0.32)25.12% (0.318 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.17% (-0.442 -0.44)59.83% (0.441 0.44)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.25% (-3.122 -3.12)28.75% (3.121 3.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.41% (-4.067 -4.07)64.59% (4.065 4.07)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 40.06%
    Inter Milan 33.78%
    Draw 26.15%
Atletico MadridDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 9.98% (1.114 1.11)
2-1 @ 8.59% (0.18 0.18)
2-0 @ 6.89% (0.714 0.71)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.047 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.17% (0.302 0.3)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.195 -0.2)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.1% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 40.06%
1-1 @ 12.43% (0.37 0.37)
0-0 @ 7.22% (0.865 0.87)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.372 -0.37)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.184 -0.18)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.15%
0-1 @ 9% (0.348 0.35)
1-2 @ 7.75% (-0.462 -0.46)
0-2 @ 5.61% (-0.28 -0.28)
1-3 @ 3.22% (-0.507 -0.51)
0-3 @ 2.33% (-0.342 -0.34)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.373 -0.37)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.265 -0.27)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 33.78%

How you voted: Atletico vs Inter Milan

Atletico Madrid
24.4%
Draw
13.1%
Inter Milan
62.4%
426
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2024 8pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Inter Milan
1-0
Atletico
Arnautovic (79')
Frattesi (86'), Augusto (90+4')

Hermoso (53'), Savic (82'), Morata (84'), Koke (90+2')
Aug 11, 2018 8.05pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Atletico
0-1
Inter Milan

Costa (24')
Martinez (31')
Martinez (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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