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Almeria
La Liga | Gameweek 26
Feb 24, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos
Atletico Madrid logo

Almeria
2 - 2
Atletico

Romero (27', 64')
Embarba (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Correa (2'), De Paul (57')
Mandava (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Granada 1-1 Almeria
Sunday, February 18 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Atletico
Tuesday, February 20 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Almeria 0-1 Atletico Madrid

Almeria are certainly capable of making this a difficult match for Atletico, especially as they held Athletic to a goalless draw in their last match on home soil. Atletico will also be without their star player in Griezmann, but we believe that Simeone's side will still have enough quality to secure an important three points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Almeria has a probability of 28.89% and a draw has a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Almeria win is 1-0 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.01%).

Result
AlmeriaDrawAtletico Madrid
28.89% (-0.116 -0.12) 25.31% (0.0040000000000013 0) 45.8% (0.113 0.11)
Both teams to score 54% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.65% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)49.35% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.6% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)71.4% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.83% (-0.123 -0.12)31.17% (0.124 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.49% (-0.145 -0.15)67.51% (0.14700000000001 0.15)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.45% (0.021999999999991 0.02)21.55% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.38% (0.030999999999999 0.03)54.62% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 28.89%
    Atletico Madrid 45.79%
    Draw 25.3%
AlmeriaDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 7.83% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-1 @ 7.01% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.56% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.72% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.77% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 28.89%
1-1 @ 12.01%
0-0 @ 6.72% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 10.3% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.22% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.91% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.05% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.81% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.55% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 45.79%

How you voted: Almeria vs Atletico

Almeria
6.8%
Draw
12.2%
Atletico Madrid
81.0%
147
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 16
Atletico
2-1
Almeria
Morata (17'), Correa (22')
Koke (90+1')
Baptistao (62')
Apr 16, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 29
Atletico
2-1
Almeria
Griezmann (5', 43')
Baptistao (37')
Jan 15, 2023 3.15pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona14111242142834
2Atletico MadridAtletico148512181329
3Real Madrid1283125111427
4Villarreal127322319424
5GironaGirona146352018221
6Mallorca146351312121
7Osasuna136341720-321
8Athletic Bilbao135531913620
9Real BetisBetis145541616020
10Real Sociedad135351110118
11Celta Vigo145362224-218
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15Getafe142751011-113
16AlavesAlaves144191524-913
17Las PalmasLas Palmas143381825-712
18Valencia122461219-710
19Espanyol133191226-1410
20Real ValladolidValladolid142391027-179


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