Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 73.83%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 8.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15%) and 3-0 (10.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.11%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Genoa |
73.83% ( -0.56) | 17.88% ( 0.39) | 8.3% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 36.62% ( -0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.08% ( -1.03) | 50.92% ( 1.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.2% ( -0.91) | 72.79% ( 0.91) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.71% ( -0.45) | 12.29% ( 0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.95% ( -0.95) | 38.05% ( 0.95) |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
41.75% ( -0.24) | 58.25% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
10.27% ( -0.13) | 89.73% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Genoa |
2-0 @ 15.73% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 15% ( 0.35) 3-0 @ 10.99% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.45% Total : 73.81% | 1-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.31% Total : 17.88% | 0-1 @ 3.87% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.19% Total : 8.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
8 | AC Milan | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |