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Serie A | Gameweek 28
Mar 9, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Inter logo

Bologna
0 - 1
Inter Milan


Zirkzee (25'), Freuler (47')
FT(HT: 0-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 1-2 Bologna
Sunday, March 3 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Bologna 1-2 Inter Milan

In what should be a fascinating contest between two red-hot teams, the home side may see their proud home record dented. Inter have shown no signs of slowing their relentless pace, and although Bologna should score at least once, Italy's champions-elect are bound for three more points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 43.86%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.55%) and 1-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.

Result
BolognaDrawInter Milan
28.33% (-0.16 -0.16) 27.81% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08) 43.86% (0.238 0.24)
Both teams to score 46.22% (0.132 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.78% (0.209 0.21)59.22% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.36% (0.16 0.16)79.64% (-0.163 -0.16)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.17% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)36.83% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.39% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)73.61% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.17% (0.22200000000001 0.22)26.83% (-0.225 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.87% (0.29199999999999 0.29)62.13% (-0.294 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Bologna 28.33%
    Inter Milan 43.85%
    Draw 27.81%
BolognaDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 9.87% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-1 @ 6.49% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.93% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.16% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.64% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.42% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 28.33%
1-1 @ 12.98% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.88% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.27% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.81%
0-1 @ 12.99% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 8.55% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.54% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.75% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.75% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.87% (0.019 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.23% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 43.85%

How you voted: Bologna vs Inter Milan

Bologna
15.8%
Draw
23.7%
Inter Milan
60.5%
152
Head to Head
Dec 20, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
Inter Milan
1-2
Bologna
Augusto (92')
Aurel Bisseck (90+4'), Darmian (100'), Pavard (103'), Barella (109')
Beukema (112'), Ndoye (116')
Lykogiannis (41'), van Hooijdonk (58'), Fabbian (88')
Oct 7, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 8
Inter Milan
2-2
Bologna
Acerbi (11'), Martinez (13')
Martinez (58'), Inzaghi (71'), Bastoni (90')
Orsolini (19' pen.), Zirkzee (52')
Ndoye (33'), Ferguson (90+4'), Beukema (90+3')
Feb 26, 2023 11.30am
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Inter Milan
6-1
Bologna
Dzeko (26'), Dimarco (36', 48'), Martinez (42'), Calhanoglu (59' pen.), Gosens (76')
Apr 27, 2022 7.15pm
Gameweek 20
Bologna
2-1
Inter Milan
Arnautovic (28'), Sansone (81')
Arnautovic (55')
Perisic (3')
Inzaghi (31'), Barella (56'), Dumfries (70'), Calhanoglu (79')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

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1 Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

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1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

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1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 France France11003
3 Poland Poland10010
4 Austria Austria10010

Group E

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1 Romania Romania11003
2 Slovakia Slovakia11003
3 Belgium Belgium10010
4 Ukraine Ukraine10010

Group F

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1 Turkey Turkey11003
2 Portugal Portugal11003
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic10010
4 Georgia Georgia10010


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