Serie A | Gameweek 24
Feb 11, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Bologna4 - 0Lecce
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bologna 4-2 Sassuolo
Saturday, February 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Saturday, February 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 3-2 Fiorentina
Friday, February 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Friday, February 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A
We said: Bologna 2-0 Lecce
Bologna are brilliant at home, while Lecce have been woeful away. Surely the hosts should secure back-to-back wins at the Salentini's expense, helping them keep pace with Italy's top four. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 58.86%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 17.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.1%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Lecce |
58.86% ( -0.03) | 24.04% ( 0.01) | 17.1% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 43.81% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
