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Serie A | Gameweek 18
Dec 30, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Gewiss Stadium
Lecce logo

Atalanta
1 - 0
Lecce

Lookman (58')
Zappacosta (35'), Holm (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ramadani (82'), Oudin (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bologna 1-0 Atalanta
Saturday, December 23 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Lecce
Saturday, December 23 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 1-1 Lecce

A total of five draws from eight on their travels shows how hard Lecce can be to beat, so Atalanta may have to settle for a point in their final game of 2023. The hosts are often caught out at the back, and their visitors could take advantage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 67.73%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 12.35%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.05%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawLecce
67.73% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02) 19.92% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 12.35% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 44.55% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.55% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)48.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.42% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)70.58% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.68% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)13.32% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.83% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)40.17% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.39% (0.031999999999996 0.03)48.61% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.33% (0.021999999999998 0.02)83.67% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 67.73%
    Lecce 12.35%
    Draw 19.92%
Atalanta BCDrawLecce
2-0 @ 13.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 13.05%
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 8.84% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.38% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 4.46% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-1 @ 3.22%
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.8% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.3%
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 67.73%
1-1 @ 9.42% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 6.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 3.42% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 19.92%
0-1 @ 4.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 3.4% (0.004 0)
0-2 @ 1.68% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 12.35%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Lecce

Atalanta BC
Draw
Lecce
Atalanta BC
74.0%
Draw
18.0%
Lecce
8.0%
50
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 23
Atalanta
1-2
Lecce
Hojlund (87')
Ceesay (4'), Blin (74')
Nov 9, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 14
Lecce
2-1
Atalanta
Zapata (40')
Mar 1, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 26
Lecce
2-7
Atalanta
Saponara (29'), Donati (40')
Lucioni (66'), Saponara (70')
Donati (17' og.), Zapata (22', 54', 62'), Ilicic (47'), Muriel (87'), Malinovskiy (90')
Hateboer (45'), Luis Palomino (57')
Oct 6, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 7
Atalanta
3-1
Lecce
Zapata (35'), Papu (40'), Gosens (56')
Kjaer (63'), de Roon (73')
Lucioni (86')
Lucioni (62'), Majer (84'), Rispoli (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan28187363273661
2Napoli29187445232261
3Atalanta BCAtalanta28177463263758
4Juventus281313245252052
5Lazio28156750361451
6Bologna281311444341050
7AC Milan29138844331147
8Roma28137843301346
9Fiorentina28136943301345
10Udinese29117113539-440
11Torino2991193434038
12Genoa29811102837-935
13Como2978143546-1129
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2992182958-2929
15CagliariCagliari2868142843-1526
16Parma29510143549-1425
17Lecce2967162148-2725
18Empoli29410152346-2322
19VeneziaVenezia29311152342-1920
20Monza2929182449-2515


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