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Serie A | Gameweek 17
Dec 23, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Atalanta logo

Bologna
1 - 0
Atalanta

Ferguson (86')
Posch (30'), Freuler (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Piero Gasperini (26'), de Roon (69'), Zappacosta (79'), Hateboer (88'), Scamacca (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 1-2 Bologna
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Bologna 2-1 Atalanta BC

Saturday's result could swing either way, but Bologna ought to claim their third impressive triumph inside six days with a marginal victory over Atalanta. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 36.9%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (11.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bologna in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bologna.

Result
BolognaDrawAtalanta BC
36.9% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04) 28.41% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 34.69% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 46.53% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.21% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)59.79% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.92% (-0.032 -0.03)80.08% (0.029999999999987 0.03)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.92% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)31.07% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.61% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)67.39% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.51% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)32.49% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.98% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)69.02% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Bologna 36.9%
    Atalanta BC 34.69%
    Draw 28.4%
BolognaDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 11.8% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.75% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.02% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.69% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 36.9%
1-1 @ 13.26%
0-0 @ 10.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.4%
0-1 @ 11.35% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.46% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.38% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.79%
0-3 @ 2.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 34.69%

How you voted: Bologna vs Atalanta

Bologna
58.9%
Draw
28.6%
Atalanta BC
12.5%
56
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 29
Atalanta
0-2
Bologna
Sansone (49'), Orsolini (86')
Jan 9, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Bologna
1-2
Atalanta
Koopmeiners (47'), Hojlund (58')
Mar 20, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Bologna
0-1
Atalanta
Cisse (82')
Demiral (66')
Aug 28, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 2
Atalanta
0-0
Bologna
Gosens (36'), Luis Palomino (79')
Medel (35'), Sansone (49'), Arnautovic (53'), Hickey (58'), Svanberg (64')
Apr 25, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Atalanta
5-0
Bologna
Malinovskyi (22'), Muriel (44' pen.), Freuler (57'), Zapata (59'), Miranchuk (73')

Larangeira (44')
Schouten (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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