Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 46.76%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 26.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9%) and 1-2 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (8.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
Lecce | Draw | Juventus |
26.44% ( -0.02) | 26.81% ( -0.01) | 46.76% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 47.76% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.37% ( 0.03) | 56.64% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.4% ( 0.02) | 77.6% ( -0.03) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.03% ( 0) | 36.98% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.24% ( 0) | 73.77% ( -0) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.78% ( 0.03) | 24.22% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.44% ( 0.04) | 58.56% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Lecce | Draw | Juventus |
1-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.29% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.43% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.08% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.48% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.47% ( -0) Other @ 1.78% Total : 26.44% | 1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 8.96% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0) Other @ 0.76% Total : 26.81% | 0-1 @ 12.69% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.96% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.26% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.23% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.51% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 46.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
8 | AC Milan | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |