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La Liga | Gameweek 26
Feb 25, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
Celta Vigo logo

Cadiz
2 - 2
Celta Vigo

Juanmi (66'), Machis (90+10')
Juanmi (72'), Alcaraz (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Aspas (11'), Swedberg (58')
Tapia (33'), Manquillo (41'), Aspas (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osasuna 2-0 Cadiz
Saturday, February 17 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-2 Barcelona
Saturday, February 17 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Cadiz 1-1 Celta Vigo

It is so difficult to back either of these two sides at the moment, so we have had to settle on a 1-1 draw, which was also on the scoreline in the reverse meeting between the teams in Vigo earlier this season. The desire not to lose is expected to make Sunday's contest a tense and nervy affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
CadizDrawCelta Vigo
30.92% (-0.291 -0.29) 28.32% (0.23 0.23) 40.76% (0.052 0.05)
Both teams to score 46% (-0.749 -0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.93% (-0.891 -0.89)60.07% (0.884 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.71% (-0.684 -0.68)80.29% (0.676 0.68)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.72% (-0.68899999999999 -0.69)35.28% (0.68 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.96% (-0.725 -0.73)72.04% (0.71599999999999 0.72)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.07% (-0.40300000000001 -0.4)28.92% (0.394 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.2% (-0.498 -0.5)64.8% (0.489 0.49)
Score Analysis
    Cadiz 30.92%
    Celta Vigo 40.75%
    Draw 28.31%
CadizDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 10.63% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 6.87% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-0 @ 5.54% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.39% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.92% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.48% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 30.92%
1-1 @ 13.18% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 10.2% (0.331 0.33)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.31%
0-1 @ 12.65% (0.28 0.28)
1-2 @ 8.18% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 7.85% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.38% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.25%
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.01% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 40.75%

How you voted: Cadiz vs Celta Vigo

Cadiz
29.2%
Draw
30.8%
Celta Vigo
40.0%
65
Head to Head
Dec 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 15
Celta Vigo
1-1
Cadiz
Strand Larsen (57')
Dotor (90+3'), Dotor (90+3')
Ramos (16')
Iza (12'), Sobrino (21'), Gil (45+2'), Mbaye (59'), Alejo (74'), Alcaraz (90+3')
Chust (33')
May 28, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 37
Cadiz
1-0
Celta Vigo
Sobrino (53')
Lozano (10'), Sobrino (27'), Bongonda (39'), Hernandez (59'), Guardiola (60'), Alcaraz (62'), Alejo (76'), Fede (90+5'), Escalante (90')

Galan (16'), Nunez (45'), de la Torre (48'), Oscar (60'), Solari (63'), Aspas (90+5')
Sep 2, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 4
Celta Vigo
3-0
Cadiz
Aspas (56', 75'), Oscar (62')
Strand Larsen (78')

Lozano (27'), Zaldua (90+1')
Feb 12, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 24
Cadiz
0-0
Celta Vigo
Ledesma (82'), Jonsson (88'), Hernandez (90+4')
Cervi (25'), Galan (52')
Sep 17, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 5
Celta Vigo
1-2
Cadiz
Mina (64')
Galhardo (48'), Tapia (74'), Mendez (89')
Lozano (38'), Espino (43')
Sobrino (46'), Haroyan (52'), Alarcon (61')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona14111242142834
2Atletico MadridAtletico148512181329
3Real Madrid1283125111427
4Villarreal127322319424
5GironaGirona146352018221
6Mallorca146351312121
7Osasuna136341720-321
8Athletic Bilbao135531913620
9Real BetisBetis145541616020
10Real Sociedad135351110118
11Celta Vigo145362224-218
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15Getafe142751011-113
16AlavesAlaves144191524-913
17Las PalmasLas Palmas143381825-712
18Valencia122461219-710
19Espanyol133191226-1410
20Real ValladolidValladolid142391027-179


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