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Celta Vigo logo
Copa del Rey | Quarter-Finals
Jan 23, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio de Balaidos
Real Sociedad logo

Celta Vigo
1 - 2
Real Sociedad

de la Torre (90+2')
Douvikas (45+2'), Nunez (74'), Ristic (90+4'), Strand Larsen (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Oyarzabal (2'), Becker (66')
Merino (65'), Magunacelaya (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa del Rey clash between Celta Vigo and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Celta Vigo 1-2 Real Sociedad

Like Saturday's encounter, we expect the quarter-final tie to produce a close-fought contest, but after winning their last five away games against Celta Vigo, we think that Real Sociedad should do enough to enjoy another successful outing at Balaidos. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 36.25%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.52%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 0-1 (11.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Real Sociedad in this match.

Result
Celta VigoDrawReal Sociedad
36.25% (-1.087 -1.09) 28.98% (0.062999999999999 0.06) 34.77% (1.029 1.03)
Both teams to score 44.91% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.23% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)61.77% (0.145 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.43% (-0.105 -0.11)81.57% (0.108 0.11)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.51% (-0.76300000000001 -0.76)32.49% (0.767 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.98% (-0.868 -0.87)69.02% (0.871 0.87)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.53% (0.627 0.63)33.47% (-0.624 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.9% (0.68 0.68)70.1% (-0.675 -0.67)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 36.25%
    Real Sociedad 34.76%
    Draw 28.97%
Celta VigoDrawReal Sociedad
1-0 @ 12.22% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 7.52% (-0.148 -0.15)
2-0 @ 6.87% (-0.256 -0.26)
3-1 @ 2.82% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-0 @ 2.58% (-0.153 -0.15)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 36.25%
1-1 @ 13.38% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.87% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.12% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.97%
0-1 @ 11.9% (0.27 0.27)
1-2 @ 7.32% (0.133 0.13)
0-2 @ 6.51% (0.252 0.25)
1-3 @ 2.67% (0.093 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.38% (0.131 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.5% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 34.76%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Real Sociedad

Celta Vigo
17.5%
Draw
17.5%
Real Sociedad
65.0%
103
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 21
Celta Vigo
0-1
Real Sociedad

Rodriguez (15')
Mendez (11')
Aramburu (30'), Merino (84')
Aug 19, 2023 4pm
Feb 18, 2023 1pm
Oct 16, 2022 1pm
Jan 8, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 20
Real Sociedad
1-0
Celta Vigo
Oyarzabal (13')
Portu (43'), Elustondo (64'), Merino (90+1')

Mina (30'), Aspas (72'), Galhardo (73')
rhs 2.0
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