Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 35.47%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.39%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (12.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Mallorca | Draw | Celta Vigo |
35.47% ( 0.03) | 29.11% ( -0) | 35.42% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 44.59% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.82% ( 0.02) | 62.18% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.13% ( 0.01) | 81.87% ( -0.01) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.79% ( 0.03) | 33.21% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.18% ( 0.03) | 69.82% ( -0.03) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.76% ( -0.01) | 33.24% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.14% ( -0.01) | 69.86% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Mallorca | Draw | Celta Vigo |
1-0 @ 12.17% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.39% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.71% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.71% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.46% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 35.47% | 1-1 @ 13.4% 0-0 @ 11.04% 2-2 @ 4.07% ( 0) Other @ 0.59% Total : 29.1% | 0-1 @ 12.15% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.38% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.53% Total : 35.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 16 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
12 | GironaGirona | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Sevilla | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
15 | Leganes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |