Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 40.53%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 29.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.29%) and 2-1 (7.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.37%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.