MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 12:11:31| >> :300:86500:86500:
Alaves logo
Athletic Bilbao logo
Atletico Madrid logo
Barcelona logo
Celta Vigo logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Las Palmas
Leganes logo
Mallorca logo
Osauna logo
Rayo Vallecano logo
Real Betis logo
Real Madrid logo
Real Sociedad logo
Real Valladolid logo
Sevilla logo
Valencia logo
Villarreal logo
La Liga header desktop

La Liga
Atletico Madrid logo
La Liga | Gameweek 31
Apr 13, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Girona logo

Atletico
3 - 1
Girona

Griezmann (34' pen., 50'), Correa (45+6')
Niguez (25'), Simeone (26'), Correa (35'), Llorente (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Dovbyk (4')
Herrera (32'), Couto (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Dortmund
Wednesday, April 10 at 8pm in Champions League

Girona

All competitions
Last Game: Girona 3-2 Betis
Sunday, March 31 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Girona

 This is a really difficult match to call, as Girona will fancy their chances of taking advantage of Atletico's energy-sapping contest against Dortmund. Girona's recent away form cannot be ignored, though, and we are backing Simeone's side to edge what should be a very interesting fixture in the Spanish capital. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 50.36%. A win for Girona had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawGirona
50.36% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04) 23.12% (0.011999999999997 0.01) 26.53% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 59.51% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.75% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)41.25% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.36% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)63.64% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.47% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)16.53% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.72% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)46.28% (0.049000000000007 0.05)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.29% (0.010999999999996 0.01)28.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.47% (0.010999999999996 0.01)64.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 50.36%
    Girona 26.53%
    Draw 23.11%
Atletico MadridDrawGirona
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 8.54% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 7.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.76% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.61% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.59% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.08% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 50.36%
1-1 @ 10.65%
2-2 @ 5.99%
0-0 @ 4.74% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.11%
1-2 @ 6.65% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.92% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.7% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.77% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.49%
0-3 @ 1.54% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 26.53%

How you voted: Atletico vs Girona

Atletico Madrid
67.4%
Draw
14.0%
Girona
18.6%
86
Head to Head
Jan 3, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 19
Girona
4-3
Atletico
Fernandez (2'), Savio (26'), Blind (39'), Martin (90+1')
Morata (14', 44', 54')
Hermoso (90')
> Preview
Mar 13, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 25
Girona
0-1
Atletico
Morata (90+1')
> Preview
Oct 8, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 8
Atletico
2-1
Girona
Correa (5', 48')
Riquelme (66')
> Preview
Apr 2, 2019 6.30pm
Gameweek 30
Atletico
2-0
Girona
Godin (76'), Griezmann (90')
Arias (48')
Jan 16, 2019 6.30pm
Round of 16
Atletico
3-3
Girona
Kalinic (12'), Correa (66'), Griezmann (84')
Hernandez (69'), Griezmann (85')
Fernandez (37'), Stuani (59'), Doumbia (88')
Iraizoz (90'), Porro (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona18122450203038
2Atletico MadridAtletico17115131112038
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao1896327161133
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal167542827126
7Real Sociedad177461611525
8Osasuna176742225-325
9Real BetisBetis176652021-124
10GironaGirona176472325-222
11Sevilla176471823-522
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano165561819-120
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe173771114-316
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010
> La Liga Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!