La Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 1, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
Villarreal1 - 2Atletico
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Villarreal 1-0 Valencia
Sunday, March 17 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Sunday, March 17 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 0-3 Barcelona
Sunday, March 17 at 8pm in La Liga
Sunday, March 17 at 8pm in La Liga
We said: Villarreal 1-1 Atletico Madrid
Villarreal are flying at the moment, and we are finding it difficult to predict the hosts to lose here, especially considering Atletico's away struggles. The Red and Whites will be determined to avoid a third straight league defeat, meanwhile, and we can see the points being shared in a low-scoring draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 30.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
44.82% ( 0.29) | 24.71% ( 0.21) | 30.46% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 56.9% ( -0.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.03% ( -1.13) | 45.97% ( 1.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.72% ( -1.08) | 68.28% ( 1.08) |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.41% ( -0.34) | 20.59% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.87% ( -0.54) | 53.13% ( 0.54) |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.65% ( -0.88) | 28.35% ( 0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.91% ( -1.13) | 64.09% ( 1.14) |
| Score Analysis |
Villarreal 44.82%
Atletico Madrid 30.46%
Draw 24.71%
| Villarreal | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.75% Total : 44.82% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.71% | 0-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 7.33% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.71% Total : 30.46% |
How you voted: Villarreal vs Atletico
Villarreal
29.9%Draw
27.8%Atletico Madrid
42.4%144
Head to Head
Form Guide
