MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 12:37:34| >> :300:86500:86500:
Alaves logo
Athletic Bilbao logo
Atletico Madrid logo
Barcelona logo
Celta Vigo logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Las Palmas
Leganes logo
Mallorca logo
Osauna logo
Rayo Vallecano logo
Real Betis logo
Real Madrid logo
Real Sociedad logo
Real Valladolid logo
Sevilla logo
Valencia logo
Villarreal logo
La Liga header desktop

La Liga
Villarreal logo
La Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 1, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
Atletico Madrid logo

Villarreal
1 - 2
Atletico

Sorloth (50')
Capoue (27'), Parejo (58'), Mosquera (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Witsel (9'), Niguez (87')
Griezmann (26'), Barrios (62'), Niguez (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 1-0 Valencia
Sunday, March 17 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 0-3 Barcelona
Sunday, March 17 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Villarreal 1-1 Atletico Madrid

 Villarreal are flying at the moment, and we are finding it difficult to predict the hosts to lose here, especially considering Atletico's away struggles. The Red and Whites will be determined to avoid a third straight league defeat, meanwhile, and we can see the points being shared in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 30.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
VillarrealDrawAtletico Madrid
44.82% (0.288 0.29) 24.71% (0.206 0.21) 30.46% (-0.488 -0.49)
Both teams to score 56.9% (-0.948 -0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.03% (-1.13 -1.13)45.97% (1.135 1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.72% (-1.079 -1.08)68.28% (1.084 1.08)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.41% (-0.337 -0.34)20.59% (0.341 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.87% (-0.53599999999999 -0.54)53.13% (0.541 0.54)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.65% (-0.88300000000001 -0.88)28.35% (0.889 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.91% (-1.129 -1.13)64.09% (1.135 1.14)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 44.82%
    Atletico Madrid 30.46%
    Draw 24.71%
VillarrealDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 9.23% (0.344 0.34)
2-1 @ 9.19% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.29% (0.198 0.2)
3-1 @ 4.84% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.84% (0.064 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.52% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 44.82%
1-1 @ 11.62% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 5.84% (0.277 0.28)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.71%
0-1 @ 7.36% (0.171 0.17)
1-2 @ 7.33% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.64% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.43% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.95% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 30.46%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Atletico

Villarreal
29.9%
Draw
27.8%
Atletico Madrid
42.4%
144
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 13
Atletico
3-1
Villarreal
Witsel (45+1'), Griezmann (80'), Lino (85')
Moreno (20')
Capoue (45+2'), Akhomach (77')
> Preview
Jun 4, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 38
Villarreal
2-2
Atletico
Jackson (9'), Pascual (90+2')
Moreno (36'), Capoue (39'), Baena (75')
Correa (18', 56')
Barrios (68'), Correa (76')
Witsel (70')
> Preview
Aug 21, 2022 6.30pm
Gameweek 2
Atletico
0-2
Villarreal

Felix (48'), Gimenez (90+1')
Molina (90+4')
Pino (73'), Moreno (90+7')
Parejo (90+3'), Baena (90+4'), Moreno (90+9')
> Preview
Jan 9, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 20
Villarreal
2-2
Atletico
Torres (29'), Moreno (58')
Correa (10'), Kondogbia (67')
Kondogbia (71')
Kondogbia (90+2')
> Preview
Aug 29, 2021 9pm
Gameweek 3
Atletico
2-2
Villarreal
Suarez (56'), Mandi (90+4' og.)
Simeone (16'), Correa (28'), Lemar (45'), Suarez (59'), De Paul (85')
Trigueros (52'), Danjuma (74')
Moreno (61'), Rulli (85')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona18122450203038
2Atletico MadridAtletico17115131112038
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao1896327161133
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal167542827126
7Real Sociedad177461611525
8Osasuna176742225-325
9Real BetisBetis176652021-124
10GironaGirona176472325-222
11Sevilla176471823-522
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano165561819-120
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe173771114-316
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010
> La Liga Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!