Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 56.94%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 22.14% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.84%) and 1-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-2 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Girona | Draw | Villarreal |
56.94% ( 2.41) | 20.92% ( 0.06) | 22.14% ( -2.48) |
Both teams to score 62.18% ( -3.54) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.56% ( -3.22) | 35.43% ( 3.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.53% ( -3.66) | 57.47% ( 3.66) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.61% ( -0.37) | 12.39% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.73% ( -0.76) | 38.27% ( 0.76) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.98% ( -3.74) | 29.02% ( 3.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.08% ( -4.87) | 64.92% ( 4.87) |
Score Analysis |
Girona | Draw | Villarreal |
2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.32) 2-0 @ 7.84% ( 1.02) 1-0 @ 7.51% ( 1.07) 3-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.64) 3-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.38) 4-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.3) 4-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.23) 5-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.11) 5-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.38% Total : 56.94% | 1-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.43) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.45) 0-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.56) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.36) Other @ 0.31% Total : 20.92% | 1-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.34) 0-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.48) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.42) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.18) Other @ 3.21% Total : 22.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 38 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 31 | 11 | 20 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 33 |
5 | Mallorca | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 27 |
6 | Villarreal | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 26 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Osasuna | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
10 | GironaGirona | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 21 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 20 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 14 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
> La Liga Full Table |