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La Liga
Celta Vigo logo
La Liga | Gameweek 34
May 5, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Balaidos
Villarreal logo

Celta Vigo
3 - 2
Villarreal

Aspas (22' pen.), Strand Larsen (39'), Douvikas (82')
Manquillo (25'), Rodriguez (33'), Swedberg (64'), Douvikas (77'), Douvikas (85')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Moreno (12'), Guedes (65')
Comesana (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Last Game: Alaves 3-0 Celta Vigo
Saturday, April 27 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Villarreal

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 3-0 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, April 28 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Celta Vigo 1-2 Villarreal

 Villarreal are in a strong run of form, and although Celta are battling for their lives, we are predicting a narrow away victory here, which would strengthen Villarreal's hopes of a European finish this term. Alexander Sorloth has scored nine times in his last eight league appearances and could be the difference between the two sides in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 49.02%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.

Result
Celta VigoDrawVillarreal
49.02% (-0.285 -0.29) 24.58% (-0.139 -0.14) 26.4% (0.424 0.42)
Both teams to score 54.45% (0.82 0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.13% (0.901 0.9)47.87% (-0.9 -0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.95% (0.824 0.82)70.05% (-0.824 -0.82)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.43% (0.23999999999999 0.24)19.57% (-0.24 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.51% (0.389 0.39)51.49% (-0.388 -0.39)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.7% (0.81999999999999 0.82)32.3% (-0.82 -0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.2% (0.919 0.92)68.8% (-0.917 -0.92)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 49.02%
    Villarreal 26.4%
    Draw 24.58%
Celta VigoDrawVillarreal
1-0 @ 10.31% (-0.31 -0.31)
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.41% (-0.19 -0.19)
3-1 @ 5.17% (0.039 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.57% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.087 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.11% (0.031 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.86% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 49.02%
1-1 @ 11.65% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 6.32% (-0.239 -0.24)
2-2 @ 5.37% (0.12 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.58%
0-1 @ 7.14% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-2 @ 6.59% (0.099 0.1)
0-2 @ 4.04% (0.031 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.48% (0.092 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.089 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.52% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 26.4%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Villarreal

Celta Vigo
23.4%
Draw
23.4%
Villarreal
53.2%
77
Head to Head
Dec 20, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 18
Villarreal
3-2
Celta Vigo
Pedraza (13'), Mandi (40'), Parejo (48' pen.)
Baena (75'), Comesana (76')
Douvikas (52'), Strand Larsen (57')
Vazquez (46'), Mingueza (72'), Sanchez (82'), Douvikas (85')
> Preview
Apr 30, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 32
Villarreal
3-1
Celta Vigo
Jackson (2', 12'), Terrats (70')
Strand Larsen (29')
> Preview
Jan 13, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 17
Celta Vigo
1-1
Villarreal
Strand Larsen (68')
Moreno (15')
> Preview
Mar 12, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 28
Villarreal
1-0
Celta Vigo
Parejo (64')
Iborra (34')

Galan (90+4')
> Preview
Nov 20, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 14
Celta Vigo
1-1
Villarreal
Mendez (72')
Mina (17')
Moreno (27')
Foyth (45')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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