MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 14:52:52| >> :300:86500:86500:
Alaves logo
Athletic Bilbao logo
Atletico Madrid logo
Barcelona logo
Celta Vigo logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Las Palmas
Leganes logo
Mallorca logo
Osauna logo
Rayo Vallecano logo
Real Betis logo
Real Madrid logo
Real Sociedad logo
Real Valladolid logo
Sevilla logo
Valencia logo
Villarreal logo
La Liga header desktop

La Liga
Almeria
La Liga | Gameweek 32
Apr 21, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos
Villarreal logo

Almeria
1 - 2
Villarreal

Lozano (30')
Viera (73'), Ramazani (80')
Ramazani (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Akhomach (25'), Sorloth (90+2')
Akhomach (50'), Coquelin (59'), Jorgensen (62'), Femenia (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

All competitions
Last Game: Real Sociedad 2-2 Almeria
Sunday, April 14 at 8pm in La Liga

Villarreal

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Villarreal
Sunday, April 14 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Almeria 1-2 Villarreal

 Almeria are seeking a first La Liga success over Villarreal for 14 years, but we are finding it difficult to predict a positive result for the basement side. Villarreal are in excellent form on their travels, and we are backing the Yellow Submarine to navigate their way to all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Almeria win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Villarreal in this match.

Result
AlmeriaDrawVillarreal
35.28% (-1.127 -1.13) 25.08% (0.187 0.19) 39.63% (0.936 0.94)
Both teams to score 57.3% (-0.805 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.82% (-0.983 -0.98)46.17% (0.979 0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.53% (-0.933 -0.93)68.47% (0.931 0.93)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.53% (-1.091 -1.09)25.46% (1.088 1.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.71% (-1.513 -1.51)60.29% (1.51 1.51)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.87% (0.040999999999997 0.04)23.12% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.01% (0.062999999999995 0.06)56.98% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 35.28%
    Villarreal 39.63%
    Draw 25.08%
AlmeriaDrawVillarreal
2-1 @ 8.07% (-0.161 -0.16)
1-0 @ 8.05% (0.083000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 5.51% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-1 @ 3.68% (-0.193 -0.19)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.138 -0.14)
3-0 @ 2.51% (-0.136 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 35.28%
1-1 @ 11.79% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 5.89% (0.241 0.24)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.08%
1-2 @ 8.64% (0.111 0.11)
0-1 @ 8.62% (0.362 0.36)
0-2 @ 6.31% (0.273 0.27)
1-3 @ 4.22% (0.059 0.06)
0-3 @ 3.08% (0.138 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.88% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.54% (0.024 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.052 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 39.63%

How you voted: Almeria vs Villarreal

Almeria
7.4%
Draw
14.8%
Villarreal
77.8%
54
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 5
Villarreal
2-1
Almeria
Moreno (45+5'), Sorloth (90+4')
Capoue (26'), Pino (90+2')
Akieme (44')
Embarba (53'), Chumi (84'), Puigmal (89')
> Preview
Mar 4, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 24
Almeria
0-2
Villarreal
Moreno (76'), Luis Morales (88')
> Preview
Oct 23, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 11
Villarreal
2-1
Almeria
Baena (56'), Jackson (90+4')
Melero (31')
> Preview
Dec 5, 2018 7.30pm
Round of 32
Villarreal
8-0
Almeria
Toko Ekambi (23', 30', 36', 47'), Bacca (45', 83' pen.), Moreno (67'), Raba (89')

Castellano (40'), Arzura (81')
Nov 1, 2018 5.30pm
Round of 32
Almeria
3-3
Villarreal
Chema (52' pen.), Gassama (86', 90')
Trujillo (43'), Brice Eteki (90')
Cazorla (67'), Callejon (78' og.), Chukwueze (83')
Gaspar (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!