La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 37

May 19, 2024 at 6pm UK

San Mames Barria

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 0
Sevilla

Garcia (17'), Muniain (19')
Ruiz de Galarreta (37')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Salas (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

Last Game: Celta Vigo 2-1 Athletic Bilbao
Wednesday, May 15 at 9pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sevilla

All competitions

Last Game: Sevilla 0-1 Cadiz
Wednesday, May 15 at 6.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-2 Sevilla

Athletic have proven to be a strong force at San Mames this season, but after drawing four of their last five home matches, we think that they could be held to another draw in their final home game of the 2023-24 campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 61.73%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 16.46%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.43%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Sevilla
61.73% ( -0.85)	21.81% ( 0.36)	16.46% ( 0.49)

Both teams to score 48.94% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.89% (

-0.62)

48.1% (

0.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.73% (

-0.57)

70.27% (

0.57)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.94% (

-0.48)

15.06% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.43% (

-0.91)

43.57% (

0.91)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.61% (

0.27)

42.38% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.23% (

0.23)

78.77% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 61.72%

Sevilla 16.46%

Draw 21.81%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Sevilla
1-0 @ 12.08% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 11.43% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.3% Total : 61.72%	1-1 @ 10.37% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.84% Total : 21.81%	0-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.7% Total : 16.46%