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La Liga | Gameweek 34
May 5, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Granada logo

Sevilla
3 - 0
Granada

Acuna (11'), En-Nesyri (51'), Lukebakio (80')
Ocampos (72'), Bade (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ruiz (38'), Rubio (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Granada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Betis 1-1 Sevilla
Sunday, April 28 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Granada 3-0 Osasuna
Sunday, April 28 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Sevilla 2-1 Granada

This weekend is anticipated to end Sandoval's mini-revival at Granada. The away side have won just one of their last 11 top-flight derbies against Andalusian sides, and they travel to Sevilla, where they have been defeated in 18 of their 22 visits (drawing two and winning as many). Backing Sanchez Flores's men to record a sixth home triumph is the logical expectation. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 53.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Granada had a probability of 21.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.

Result
SevillaDrawGranada
53.02% (-1.238 -1.24) 25.2% (0.963 0.96) 21.78% (0.272 0.27)
Both teams to score 47.67% (-2.451 -2.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.62% (-3.427 -3.43)54.38% (3.424 3.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.24% (-2.933 -2.93)75.75% (2.93 2.93)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.49% (-1.821 -1.82)20.51% (1.818 1.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47% (-2.965 -2.97)53% (2.962 2.96)
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.98% (-1.673 -1.67)40.02% (1.669 1.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.33% (-1.563 -1.56)76.67% (1.56 1.56)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 53.02%
    Granada 21.78%
    Draw 25.19%
SevillaDrawGranada
1-0 @ 13% (0.98 0.98)
2-0 @ 10.3% (0.22 0.22)
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.229 -0.23)
3-0 @ 5.44% (-0.196 -0.2)
3-1 @ 4.98% (-0.419 -0.42)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.307 -0.31)
4-0 @ 2.16% (-0.208 -0.21)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.292 -0.29)
4-2 @ 0.9% (-0.181 -0.18)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 53.02%
1-1 @ 11.9% (0.38 0.38)
0-0 @ 8.21% (1.039 1.04)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.31 -0.31)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 7.52% (0.646 0.65)
1-2 @ 5.45% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.44% (0.15 0.15)
1-3 @ 1.66% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-3 @ 1.05% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 21.78%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Granada

Sevilla
88.8%
Draw
9.0%
Granada
2.2%
89
Head to Head
Dec 19, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 18
Granada
0-3
Sevilla

Gumbau (38'), Torrente (57')
Pedrosa (23'), Ocampos (32'), Ramos (49')
Bueno (74')
Apr 8, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 31
Sevilla
4-2
Granada
Carlos (32'), Ocampos (66'), Mir (90+3'), Papu (90+9')
Jordan (57'), Mir (78')
Machis (23'), Diaz (88')
Brice Eteki (42'), Suarez Charris (76')
Oct 3, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 8
Granada
1-0
Sevilla
Rochina (25')
Gonalons (28'), Quini (75'), Suarez Charris (90+1')

Carlos (73'), Acuna (75'), Ocampos (90+3')
Carlos (90+1')
Apr 25, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
Sevilla
2-1
Granada
Rakitic (16' pen.), Ocampos (53'), Soldado (90' pen.)
Kenedy (34'), Puertas (67'), Montoro (87'), Acuna (90'), Kounde (90+2')
Oct 17, 2020 12pm
Gameweek 6
Granada
1-0
Sevilla
Herrera (82')
Gonalons (30'), Foulquier (40'), Martinez Penas (65'), Puertas (71'), Vico (85')

Fernando (10'), Jordan (45+3'), Vazquez (90+1')
Jordan (45+4')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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