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Serie A
Lecce logo
Serie A | Gameweek 8
Oct 20, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Fiorentina logo

Lecce
0 - 6
Fiorentina


Gallo (43')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Cataldi (20', 45'), Colpani (34', 54'), Beltran (61'), Parisi (72')
Colpani (18'), Adli (42'), Gosens (59'), Ranieri (80'), Richardson (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 1-0 Lecce
Saturday, October 5 at 2pm in Serie A

Fiorentina

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 AC Milan
Sunday, October 6 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 1-1 Fiorentina

 Notably, Fiorentina have scored the joint-most Serie A goals from set-piece situations this season - averaging one per game so far - and they are very likely to find the net again on Sunday. Lecce are much tougher to beat on home turf than on the road, though, so the Salentini may be able to hold out for a precious point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 50.63%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 24.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.47%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
LecceDrawFiorentina
24.05% (0.259 0.26) 25.33% (0.101 0.1) 50.63% (-0.358 -0.36)
Both teams to score 49.9% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.23% (-0.166 -0.17)52.77% (0.169 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.6% (-0.143 -0.14)74.4% (0.146 0.15)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.05% (0.142 0.14)36.95% (-0.139 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.27% (0.14 0.14)73.74% (-0.137 -0.14)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.14% (-0.217 -0.22)20.86% (0.219 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.45% (-0.34099999999999 -0.34)53.55% (0.343 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 24.05%
    Fiorentina 50.62%
    Draw 25.32%
LecceDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 7.67% (0.081 0.08)
2-1 @ 5.99% (0.046 0.05)
2-0 @ 3.82% (0.054 0.05)
3-1 @ 1.99% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.56% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.27% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 24.05%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.71% (0.052 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 25.32%
0-1 @ 12.07%
0-2 @ 9.47% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-2 @ 9.43% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.95% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-3 @ 4.93% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.94% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.93% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 50.62%

How you voted: Lecce vs Fiorentina

Lecce
18.4%
Draw
29.6%
Fiorentina
52.0%
98
Head to Head
Feb 2, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Lecce
3-2
Fiorentina
Oudin (17'), Piccoli (90'), Dorgu (90+2')
Almqvist (50'), Banda (77'), Gendrey (82')
Mandragora (50'), Beltran (67')
Martinez (15'), Ranieri (72'), Gonzalez (90')
> Preview
Aug 27, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 2
Fiorentina
2-2
Lecce
Gonzalez (3'), Duncan (25')
Martinez (59')
Rafia (49'), Krstovic (76')
Pongracic (15'), Gendrey (54'), Chinazaekpere Dorgu (63')
> Preview
Mar 19, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 27
Fiorentina
1-0
Lecce
Gallo (27' og.)
> Preview
Oct 17, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Lecce
1-1
Fiorentina
Ceesay (43')
Kouame (48')
> Preview
Jul 15, 2020 8.45pm
Gameweek 33
Lecce
1-3
Fiorentina
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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