Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan3 - 0Lecce
FT(HT: 3-0)
Baschirotto (34')
We said: AC Milan 2-0 Lecce
As Milan are in good spirits following the derby - and Lecce do not tend to travel well - the hosts should stride to a regulation win at San Siro. While defensive questions remain, the Rossoneri have an abundance of talent in attack, and Paulo Fonseca is now starting to harness it. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 62.42%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 17.09%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-2 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Lecce |
62.42% ( -0.3) | 20.49% ( 0.06) | 17.09% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 54.63% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
