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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 31
Apr 6, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Lecce logo

AC Milan
3 - 0
Lecce

Pulisic (6'), Giroud (20'), Leao (57')
Chukwueze (78')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Blin (34')
Krstovic (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-2 AC Milan
Saturday, March 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Lecce

All competitions
Last Game: Lecce 0-0 Roma
Monday, April 1 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 2-0 Lecce

 Milan have lost just one of their last 24 matches against Lecce in Serie A - and not at all for nearly two decades - while the Salentini are one of the weakest away sides in Italy's top flight. Even with an eye on their big continental contest next week, the hosts should be able to take care of business without too much fuss. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 66.59%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 13.21%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.6%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawLecce
66.59% (0.25399999999999 0.25) 20.2% (-0.099 -0.1) 13.21% (-0.157 -0.16)
Both teams to score 46.11% (-0.119 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.3% (0.074000000000005 0.07)47.7% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.1% (0.066000000000003 0.07)69.9% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.57% (0.099000000000004 0.1)13.43% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.61% (0.198 0.2)40.39% (-0.2 -0.2)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.26% (-0.2 -0.2)46.74% (0.198 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.71% (-0.151 -0.15)82.29% (0.149 0.15)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 66.58%
    Lecce 13.21%
    Draw 20.2%
AC MilanDrawLecce
2-0 @ 12.65% (0.06 0.06)
1-0 @ 12.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.47% (0.067 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.44% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.25% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.23% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.71% (0.026 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.3% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 66.58%
1-1 @ 9.58% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.28% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.66% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 20.2%
0-1 @ 4.77% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 3.64% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-2 @ 1.82% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 0.93% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 0.92% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 13.21%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Lecce

AC Milan
91.4%
Draw
6.7%
Lecce
1.9%
105
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 12
Lecce
2-2
AC Milan
Sansone (66'), Banda (70')
Ramadani (45'), Espeto (62'), Piccoli (85'), Gonzalez (90+2')
Giroud (28'), Reijnders (35')
Hernandez (44'), Musah (80'), Calabria (80'), Florenzi (90'), Giroud (90+3'), Krunic (90+5')
Giroud (90+3')
> Preview
Apr 23, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 31
AC Milan
2-0
Lecce
Leao (40', 74')
> Preview
Jan 14, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 18
Lecce
2-2
AC Milan
Hernandez (3' og.), Baschirotto (23')
Leao (58'), Calabria (70')
> Preview
Jun 22, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 27
Lecce
1-4
AC Milan
> Preview
Oct 20, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
AC Milan
2-2
Lecce
Calhanoglu (20'), Piatek (81')
Biglia (85')
Babacar (62'), Calderoni (92')
Majer (44'), Rossettini (76')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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