Serie A | Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Arechi
Salernitana0 - 1Lecce
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cagliari 4-2 Salernitana
Saturday, March 9 at 2pm in Serie A
Saturday, March 9 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 0-1 Hellas Verona
Sunday, March 10 at 11.30am in Serie A
Sunday, March 10 at 11.30am in Serie A
We said: Salernitana 0-0 Lecce
It is unknown how Gotti's Lecce appointment elicits a reaction in the struggling side, but erring on the side of caution is the sensible move to opt for a scoreless draw at the Arechi. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lecce in this match.
| Result | ||
| Salernitana | Draw | Lecce |
32.13% ( 0.09) | 26.51% ( -0.05) | 41.36% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.75% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.01% ( 0.2) | 52.99% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.41% ( 0.17) | 74.58% ( -0.17) |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.25% ( 0.16) | 30.75% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.99% ( 0.19) | 67.01% ( -0.19) |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.72% ( 0.06) | 25.28% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.96% ( 0.09) | 60.04% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
Salernitana 32.13%
Lecce 41.35%
Draw 26.5%
| Salernitana | Draw | Lecce |
| 1-0 @ 9.17% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.07% Total : 32.13% | 1-1 @ 12.6% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.5% | 0-1 @ 10.68% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.35% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.97% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 2.44% Total : 41.35% |
How you voted: Salernitana vs Lecce
Salernitana
32.3%Draw
33.9%Lecce
33.9%62
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2023 7.45pm
Sep 16, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 2, 2021 6pm
Form Guide
