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Serie A | Gameweek 3
Sep 1, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Monza

Fiorentina
2 - 2
Monza

Kean (45'), Gosens (90+6')
Mandragora (23'), Dodo (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Djuric (18'), Maldini (32')
Pessina (21'), Izzo (75'), Petagna (80'), Nesta (81'), Gagliardini (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Puskas Academy 1-1 Fiorentina (4-5 pen.)
Thursday, August 29 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Monza

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Monza 0-1 Genoa
Saturday, August 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 1-1 Monza

 Sunday's game will bring together the team with most shots on target after two Serie A matchdays (Fiorentina, 15) and the side with fewest (Monza, three). After a draining 120-minute match in Hungary, though, Raffaele Palladino's men may not be in sufficient shape to record their first league win of the season, with Monza standing firm to frustrate their former manager. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 65.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Monza had a probability of 13.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.55%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawMonza
65.74% (-0.47 -0.47) 20.59% (0.314 0.31) 13.67% (0.156 0.16)
Both teams to score 46.16% (-0.543 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.69% (-0.96700000000001 -0.97)48.31% (0.967 0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.54% (-0.889 -0.89)70.45% (0.89 0.89)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.13% (-0.443 -0.44)13.87% (0.443 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.73% (-0.882 -0.88)41.27% (0.882 0.88)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.59% (-0.354 -0.35)46.4% (0.353 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.97% (-0.274 -0.27)82.03% (0.274 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 65.73%
    Monza 13.67%
    Draw 20.59%
FiorentinaDrawMonza
1-0 @ 12.71% (0.3 0.3)
2-0 @ 12.55% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 8.27% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.35% (-0.12 -0.12)
4-0 @ 4.08% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-1 @ 3.14% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.07 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.61% (-0.069 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.24% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 65.73%
1-1 @ 9.76% (0.135 0.14)
0-0 @ 6.44% (0.253 0.25)
2-2 @ 3.7% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 20.59%
0-1 @ 4.94% (0.147 0.15)
1-2 @ 3.75% (0.015 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.9% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 0.96% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.95% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 1.18%
Total : 13.67%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Monza

Fiorentina
71.0%
Draw
27.5%
Monza
1.4%
69
Head to Head
May 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Fiorentina
2-1
Monza
Gonzalez (32'), Arthur (78')
Parisi (41')
Djuric (9')
Bondo (69')
> Preview
Dec 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Monza
0-1
Fiorentina

Mari (33'), Akpa-Akpro (72'), D'Ambrosio (88')
Beltran (7')
Beltran (33'), Mina (68'), Kayode (86'), Ranieri (90+3')
> Preview
Apr 23, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 31
Monza
3-2
Fiorentina
Biraghi (26' og.), Mota (43'), Pessina (59' pen.)
Kouame (8'), Saponara (13')
> Preview
Jan 4, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
Fiorentina
1-1
Monza
Cabral (19')
Augusto (61')
> Preview
Aug 18, 2019 5.15pm
Third Round
Fiorentina
3-1
Monza
Vlahovic (80', 86'), Chiesa (89')
Terzic (29'), Ranieri (71'), Vlahovic (87')
Brighenti (34')
Sampirisi (33'), Scaglia (39'), Bellusci (44'), Iocolano (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410
> Serie A Full Table


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