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Serie A
Cagliari logo
Serie A | Gameweek 38
May 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Fiorentina logo

Cagliari
2 - 3
Fiorentina

Deiola (64'), Mutandwa (85')
Sulemana (90+4'), Mina (90+2'), Sulemana (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bonaventura (39'), Gonzalez (89'), Arthur (90+13' pen.)
Mandragora (44'), Biraghi (45+3'), Ranieri (45+2'), Bonaventura (71'), N'Zola (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions
Last Game: Sassuolo 0-2 Cagliari
Sunday, May 19 at 11.30am in Serie A

Fiorentina

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-2 Napoli
Friday, May 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Cagliari 1-1 Fiorentina

 Cagliari playing at home almost always means goals at both ends of the field, and the added incentive of giving Ranieri the send-off he deserves will be an incredibly strong motivation for the Rossoblu to end the season on a high. Meanwhile, Fiorentina's exploits on the road often leave a lot to be desired, and as minds wander towards the Europa Conference League final, Ranieri's side can feel hopeful of stealing a point before the 72-year-old calls time on his illustrious career. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 26.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.96%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawFiorentina
26.13% (-0.13 -0.13) 26.08% (0.099 0.1) 47.8% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 49.62% (-0.396 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.9% (-0.462 -0.46)54.1% (0.47 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.48% (-0.387 -0.39)75.52% (0.39500000000001 0.4)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.15% (-0.36 -0.36)35.85% (0.368 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.37% (-0.373 -0.37)72.63% (0.38000000000001 0.38)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.36% (-0.173 -0.17)22.64% (0.182 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.73% (-0.265 -0.27)56.27% (0.273 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 26.13%
    Fiorentina 47.79%
    Draw 26.07%
CagliariDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 8.33% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 6.34% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.27% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.17% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.61% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.46% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 26.13%
1-1 @ 12.36% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.12% (0.147 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.07%
0-1 @ 12.05% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 9.19% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.96% (0.067 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.55% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 4.43% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.69% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.65% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 47.79%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Fiorentina

Cagliari
30.1%
Draw
24.3%
Fiorentina
45.6%
136
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Fiorentina
3-0
Cagliari
Gonzalez (3'), Dossena (21' og.), N'Zola (90+4')
Infantino (86')

Pavoletti (90+2')
> Preview
Jan 23, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 23
Cagliari
1-1
Fiorentina
Pedro (47')
Altare (10'), Mazzarri (60'), Pedro (81'), Ceppitelli (86')
Sottil (75')
Biraghi (29'), Sottil (75'), Maleh (89')
Odriozola (65')
> Preview
Oct 24, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 9
Fiorentina
3-0
Cagliari
Biraghi (21' pen.), Gonzalez (42'), Vlahovic (49')

Balde (20'), Marin (48')
> Preview
May 12, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 36
Cagliari
0-0
Fiorentina
Lykogiannis (35')
Pulgar (27'), Caceres (67')
> Preview
Jan 10, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 17
Fiorentina
1-0
Cagliari
Vlahovic (72')
Biraghi (77')

Oliva (53'), Tramoni (86'), Pavoletti (90+1')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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