Serie A | Gameweek 33
Apr 21, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Arechi
Salernitana0 - 2Fiorentina
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lazio 4-1 Salernitana
Friday, April 12 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Friday, April 12 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-0 Plzen
Thursday, April 18 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, April 18 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
We said: Salernitana 1-1 Fiorentina
No Serie A side has scored fewer away goals than Fiorentina in 2024, and only one has earned fewer points on the road. While Salernitana are so often shoddy at the back, the Viola may not be best placed to capitalise - particularly with one eye on an upcoming cup semi-final. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 58.74%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 18.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.58%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Salernitana | Draw | Fiorentina |
18.73% ( 0.72) | 22.54% ( 0.09) | 58.74% ( -0.81) |
| Both teams to score 51.03% ( 1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
