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Salernitana
Serie A | Gameweek 33
Apr 21, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Arechi
Fiorentina logo

Salernitana
0 - 2
Fiorentina


Basic (45'), Candreva (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kouame (80'), Ikone (90+5')
Lopez (18'), Sottil (45'), Ranieri (47'), Martinez (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lazio 4-1 Salernitana
Friday, April 12 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-0 Plzen
Thursday, April 18 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Salernitana 1-1 Fiorentina

No Serie A side has scored fewer away goals than Fiorentina in 2024, and only one has earned fewer points on the road. While Salernitana are so often shoddy at the back, the Viola may not be best placed to capitalise - particularly with one eye on an upcoming cup semi-final. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 58.74%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 18.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.58%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
SalernitanaDrawFiorentina
18.73% (0.716 0.72) 22.54% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 58.74% (-0.805 -0.81)
Both teams to score 51.03% (1.001 1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.44% (0.678 0.68)47.57% (-0.675 -0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.23% (0.624 0.62)69.77% (-0.622 -0.62)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.65% (1.217 1.22)39.35% (-1.214 -1.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.95% (1.115 1.12)76.05% (-1.113 -1.11)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.14% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)15.86% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.94% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)45.07% (0.071000000000005 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Salernitana 18.73%
    Fiorentina 58.74%
    Draw 22.53%
SalernitanaDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 5.82% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 5% (0.181 0.18)
2-0 @ 2.72% (0.102 0.1)
3-1 @ 1.55% (0.105 0.11)
3-2 @ 1.43% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 18.73%
1-1 @ 10.71% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.24% (-0.177 -0.18)
2-2 @ 4.6% (0.161 0.16)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 22.53%
0-1 @ 11.49% (-0.34 -0.34)
0-2 @ 10.58% (-0.32 -0.32)
1-2 @ 9.87% (0.025 0.03)
0-3 @ 6.49% (-0.211 -0.21)
1-3 @ 6.06% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.99% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.82% (0.095 0.09)
1-4 @ 2.79%
2-4 @ 1.3% (0.042 0.04)
0-5 @ 1.1% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-5 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 58.74%

How you voted: Salernitana vs Fiorentina

Salernitana
27.3%
Draw
21.2%
Fiorentina
51.5%
33
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 14
Fiorentina
3-0
Salernitana
Beltran (6' pen.), Sottil (17'), Bonaventura (56')
Ranieri (44')
May 3, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 33
Salernitana
3-3
Fiorentina
Dia (10', 59', 81' pen.)
Gonzalez (36'), Ikone (71'), Biraghi (84')
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Fiorentina
2-1
Salernitana
Bonaventura (15'), Jovic (81')
Dia (55')
Apr 24, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 34
Salernitana
2-1
Fiorentina
Djuric (9'), Bonazzoli (79')
Gyomber (22')
Saponara (64')
Milenkovic (82')
Dec 11, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 17
Fiorentina
4-0
Salernitana
Bonaventura (31'), Vlahovic (51', 84'), Maleh (90')
Milenkovic (11')

Kastanos (20')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan16114142152737
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1694329131631
6Juventus17710028131531
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese177282126-523
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como173681830-1215
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza171791523-810


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