Coppa Italia | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 3, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Fiorentina1 - 0Atalanta
FT(HT: 1-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-2 AC Milan
Saturday, March 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Saturday, March 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 0-3 Atalanta
Saturday, March 30 at 11.30am in Serie A
Saturday, March 30 at 11.30am in Serie A
We said: Fiorentina 1-1 Atalanta BC
These two sides have shared the results of this meeting in recent years and while Atalanta enter the game in superior form than the hosts, Fiorentina have not lost at home to Gasperini's side since April 2021, leading us to believe this one will end all square. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 51.94%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 24.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fiorentina in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Atalanta BC |
51.94% ( 0.19) | 23.81% ( -0.41) | 24.24% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 54.79% ( 1.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.58% ( 1.95) | 46.42% ( -1.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.3% ( 1.8) | 68.7% ( -1.81) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.13% ( 0.81) | 17.86% ( -0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.36% ( 1.38) | 48.63% ( -1.38) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.7% ( 1.25) | 33.29% ( -1.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.09% ( 1.35) | 69.91% ( -1.36) |
| Score Analysis |
Fiorentina 51.94%
Atalanta BC 24.24%
Draw 23.81%
| Fiorentina | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 1-0 @ 10.24% ( -0.58) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.26)3-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.19)4-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.12)Other @ 3.57% Total : 51.94% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.51)2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.81% | 0-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.14)0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.36% Total : 24.24% |
How you voted: Fiorentina vs Atalanta
Fiorentina
30.0%Draw
32.5%Atalanta BC
37.5%120
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2024 12am
Gameweek 29
Atalanta
P-P
Fiorentina
Sep 17, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 4
Fiorentina
3-2
Atalanta
Apr 17, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 2, 2022 5pm
Feb 20, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 26
Fiorentina
1-0
Atalanta
Djimsiti (13'), Malinovskyi (45+1'), Demiral (45+2'), Toloi (74'), Sportiello (90+6')
Piero Gasperini (64')
Form Guide
