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Atalanta logo
Coppa Italia | Round of 16
Jan 3, 2024 at 5pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Sassuolo logo

Atalanta
3 - 1
Sassuolo

De Ketelaere (24', 63'), Miranchuk (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Boloca (90+5')
Konradsen Ceide (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coppa Italia clash between Atalanta BC and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Last Game: Atalanta 1-0 Lecce
Saturday, December 30 at 11.30am in Serie A

Sassuolo

All competitions
Coppa Italia
Last Game: AC Milan 1-0 Sassuolo
Saturday, December 30 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 2-0 Sassuolo

 Although Sassuolo's away record is fairly respectable, they now face an Atalanta side that has won six from nine on home soil in Serie A. Despite rotating their resources, the hosts should have enough nous to capitalise on their visitors' defensive deficiencies and make it through to the Coppa Italia's last eight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 61.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 18.61%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.95%) and 1-0 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.18%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawSassuolo
61.24% (-1.175 -1.18) 20.15% (0.491 0.49) 18.61% (0.68 0.68)
Both teams to score 58.96% (-0.462 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.01% (-1.207 -1.21)36.98% (1.201 1.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.83% (-1.318 -1.32)59.17% (1.315 1.32)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.31% (-0.676 -0.68)11.68% (0.672 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.23% (-1.466 -1.47)36.76% (1.461 1.46)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.76% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)33.24% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.15% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)69.85% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 61.24%
    Sassuolo 18.61%
    Draw 20.15%
Atalanta BCDrawSassuolo
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.95% (0.045 0.04)
1-0 @ 8.34% (0.264 0.26)
3-1 @ 7.06% (-0.16 -0.16)
3-0 @ 6.41% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-2 @ 3.89% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-1 @ 3.79% (-0.192 -0.19)
4-0 @ 3.44% (-0.174 -0.17)
4-2 @ 2.09% (-0.107 -0.11)
5-1 @ 1.63% (-0.129 -0.13)
5-0 @ 1.48% (-0.117 -0.12)
Other @ 4.33%
Total : 61.24%
1-1 @ 9.18% (0.289 0.29)
2-2 @ 5.43% (0.024 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.88% (0.224 0.22)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 20.15%
1-2 @ 5.06% (0.158 0.16)
0-1 @ 4.28% (0.245 0.25)
0-2 @ 2.36% (0.135 0.14)
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.86% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 18.61%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Sassuolo

Atalanta BC
82.7%
Draw
12.3%
Sassuolo
4.9%
81
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Sassuolo
0-2
Atalanta
De Ketelaere (83'), Zortea (90+3')
> Preview
Feb 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Sassuolo
1-0
Atalanta
Lauriente (55')
> Preview
Oct 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Atalanta
2-1
Sassuolo
Pasalic (45+1'), Lookman (46')
Kiriakopoulos (41')
> Preview
Apr 10, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 32
Sassuolo
2-1
Atalanta
Traore (24', 61')
Henrique (39'), Muldur (63')
Muriel (90+3')
Zappacosta (90+2')
> Preview
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Marco Ferrari (25'), Lopez (90+1')
> Preview
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