Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Udinese | Draw | Sassuolo |
43.8% ( 0.65) | 24.44% ( -0.22) | 31.75% ( -0.43) |
Both teams to score 58.47% ( 0.6) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.8% ( 0.86) | 44.2% ( -0.87) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.42% ( 0.83) | 66.58% ( -0.84) |
Udinese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.69% ( 0.65) | 20.3% ( -0.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.32% ( 1.03) | 52.67% ( -1.03) |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.36% ( 0.15) | 26.64% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.13% ( 0.2) | 61.87% ( -0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Udinese | Draw | Sassuolo |
2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.88% Total : 43.81% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.21) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.44% | 1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.15% Total : 31.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |