Serie A | Gameweek 15
Dec 11, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Cagliari2 - 1Sassuolo
We said: Cagliari 2-2 Sassuolo
Another high-scoring game between these two could be in the offing, with neither Cagliari nor Sassuolo landing a decisive blow in Sardinia. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 45.33%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Cagliari in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Sassuolo |
45.33% ( 0.73) | 24.45% ( 0.26) | 30.21% ( -0.99) |
| Both teams to score 57.65% ( -1.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.07% ( -1.65) | 44.93% ( 1.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.71% ( -1.61) | 67.28% ( 1.61) |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.06% ( -0.36) | 19.94% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.91% ( -0.58) | 52.09% ( 0.58) |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72% ( -1.47) | 28% ( 1.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.36% ( -1.91) | 63.64% ( 1.91) |
| Score Analysis |
Cagliari 45.33%
Sassuolo 30.21%
Draw 24.44%
| Cagliari | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 9% ( 0.53)2-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.35)3-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 2% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.96% Total : 45.33% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.2)0-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.39)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.44% | 1-2 @ 7.29% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.79% Total : 30.21% |
How you voted: Cagliari vs Sassuolo
Cagliari
32.9%Draw
32.9%Sassuolo
34.3%70
