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Serie A | Gameweek 9
Oct 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Hellas Verona logo

Atalanta
6 - 1
Hellas Verona

de Roon (6'), Retegui (9', 58'), De Ketelaere (14'), Lookman (29', 34')
FT(HT: 5-1)
Sarr (42')
Bradaric (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 0-0 Celtic
Wednesday, October 23 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-3 Monza
Monday, October 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 3-1 Hellas Verona

Atalanta should take care of business against a Verona side that has been shipping plenty of goals, already conceding three on four separate occasions. Posting a third league win on the spin would keep La Dea in the mix for top spot, as they look to stay the pace with several Scudetto contenders. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 70.33%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 10.84%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.11%) and 3-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawHellas Verona
70.33% (0.17999999999999 0.18) 18.83% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08) 10.84% (-0.104 -0.1)
Both teams to score 43.13% (-0.106 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.34% (0.053000000000004 0.05)47.66% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.15% (0.050999999999998 0.05)69.85% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.67% (0.066000000000003 0.07)12.33% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.86% (0.13800000000001 0.14)38.14% (-0.141 -0.14)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.2% (-0.16 -0.16)50.8% (0.15799999999999 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.79% (-0.109 -0.11)85.21% (0.107 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 70.33%
    Hellas Verona 10.84%
    Draw 18.83%
Atalanta BCDrawHellas Verona
2-0 @ 13.72% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 13.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.57% (0.052 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 5.01% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.39% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.1% (0.022 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.42% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 70.33%
1-1 @ 8.88% (-0.037999999999998 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.26% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 18.83%
0-1 @ 4.24% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-2 @ 3.01% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.44% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 10.84%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Hellas Verona

Atalanta BC
81.9%
Draw
12.8%
Hellas Verona
5.3%
94
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Atalanta
2-2
Hellas Verona
Scamacca (13'), Ederson (18')
Lazovic (56'), Noslin (60')
Suslov (42'), Silva (83')
Sep 27, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
Hellas Verona
0-1
Atalanta

Ngonge (54'), Folorunsho (67')
Koopmeiners (13')
Ederson (50'), de Roon (62'), Toloi (77'), Toloi (77+77')
May 20, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 36
Atalanta
3-1
Hellas Verona
Zappacosta (22'), Pasalic (53'), Hojlund (62')
Koopmeiners (24')
Lazovic (11')
Hien (28'), Depaoli (36'), Faraoni (90+3')
Aug 28, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 3
Hellas Verona
0-1
Atalanta

Ceccherini (61'), Hien (82'), Henry (82')
Koopmeiners (50')
Soppy (23'), Piero Gasperini (32'), Koopmeiners (38'), Malinovskyi (59')
Apr 18, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 33
Atalanta
1-2
Hellas Verona
Scalvini (82')
Luis Palomino (25'), Malinovskyi (30'), Koopmeiners (58')
Ceccherini (45+2'), Koopmeiners (55' og.)
Gunter (9'), Casale (21'), Ceccherini (67')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli17122326121438
2Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino175481722-519
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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