Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 70.33%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 10.84%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.11%) and 3-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Hellas Verona |
70.33% ( 0.18) | 18.83% ( -0.08) | 10.84% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 43.13% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.34% ( 0.05) | 47.66% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.15% ( 0.05) | 69.85% ( -0.05) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.67% ( 0.07) | 12.33% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.86% ( 0.14) | 38.14% ( -0.14) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.2% ( -0.16) | 50.8% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.79% ( -0.11) | 85.21% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC | Draw | Hellas Verona |
2-0 @ 13.72% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 13.11% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 2.88% Total : 70.33% | 1-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.54% Total : 18.83% | 0-1 @ 4.24% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.15% Total : 10.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
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