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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 24, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta
2 - 3
Como

Zappacosta (18'), Lookman (90+9' pen.)
de Roon (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Espeto (46'), Kolasinac (54' og.), Fadera (58')
Roberto (11'), Moreno (36'), Van Der Brempt (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Como, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 0-0 Arsenal
Thursday, September 19 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Como 2-2 Bologna
Saturday, September 14 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 2-0 Como

Even if Atalanta decide to rotate their squad after a busy start to the season, they have too much quality and top-flight know-how for a Como side that has shown few signs of adapting to the demands of Serie A. In a third consecutive home game following the renovation of their stadium, La Dea should serenely secure maximum points and build on a fine performance against Arsenal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 50.11%. A win for Como had a probability of 24.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Como win was 0-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawComo
50.11% (-2.669 -2.67) 24.9% (0.477 0.48) 24.98% (2.196 2.2)
Both teams to score 52.11% (0.94 0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.67% (0.061999999999998 0.06)50.33% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.73% (0.056000000000001 0.06)72.27% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.9% (-1.046 -1.05)20.09% (1.048 1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.66% (-1.707 -1.71)52.34% (1.711 1.71)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.21% (2.006 2.01)34.78% (-2.002 -2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.48% (2.059 2.06)71.51% (-2.057 -2.06)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 50.11%
    Como 24.98%
    Draw 24.9%
Atalanta BCDrawComo
1-0 @ 11.21% (-0.4 -0.4)
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 9% (-0.634 -0.63)
3-1 @ 5.08% (-0.242 -0.24)
3-0 @ 4.81% (-0.511 -0.51)
3-2 @ 2.68% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.04% (-0.168 -0.17)
4-0 @ 1.93% (-0.277 -0.28)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 50.11%
1-1 @ 11.84% (0.23 0.23)
0-0 @ 6.99% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.201 0.2)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.9%
0-1 @ 7.38% (0.375 0.38)
1-2 @ 6.25% (0.444 0.44)
0-2 @ 3.9% (0.393 0.39)
1-3 @ 2.2% (0.265 0.27)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.161 0.16)
0-3 @ 1.37% (0.204 0.2)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 24.98%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Como

Atalanta BC
92.6%
Draw
6.2%
Como
1.2%
337
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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