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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 24, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta
2 - 3
Como

Zappacosta (18'), Lookman (90+9' pen.)
de Roon (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Espeto (46'), Kolasinac (54' og.), Fadera (58')
Roberto (11'), Moreno (36'), Van Der Brempt (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Como, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 0-0 Arsenal
Thursday, September 19 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Como 2-2 Bologna
Saturday, September 14 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 2-0 Como

Even if Atalanta decide to rotate their squad after a busy start to the season, they have too much quality and top-flight know-how for a Como side that has shown few signs of adapting to the demands of Serie A. In a third consecutive home game following the renovation of their stadium, La Dea should serenely secure maximum points and build on a fine performance against Arsenal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 50.11%. A win for Como had a probability of 24.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Como win was 0-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawComo
50.11% (-2.669 -2.67) 24.9% (0.477 0.48) 24.98% (2.196 2.2)
Both teams to score 52.11% (0.94 0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.67% (0.061999999999998 0.06)50.33% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.73% (0.056000000000001 0.06)72.27% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.9% (-1.046 -1.05)20.09% (1.048 1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.66% (-1.707 -1.71)52.34% (1.711 1.71)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.21% (2.006 2.01)34.78% (-2.002 -2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.48% (2.059 2.06)71.51% (-2.057 -2.06)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 50.11%
    Como 24.98%
    Draw 24.9%
Atalanta BCDrawComo
1-0 @ 11.21% (-0.4 -0.4)
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 9% (-0.634 -0.63)
3-1 @ 5.08% (-0.242 -0.24)
3-0 @ 4.81% (-0.511 -0.51)
3-2 @ 2.68% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.04% (-0.168 -0.17)
4-0 @ 1.93% (-0.277 -0.28)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 50.11%
1-1 @ 11.84% (0.23 0.23)
0-0 @ 6.99% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.201 0.2)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.9%
0-1 @ 7.38% (0.375 0.38)
1-2 @ 6.25% (0.444 0.44)
0-2 @ 3.9% (0.393 0.39)
1-3 @ 2.2% (0.265 0.27)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.161 0.16)
0-3 @ 1.37% (0.204 0.2)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 24.98%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Como

Atalanta BC
92.6%
Draw
6.2%
Como
1.2%
337
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan16114142152737
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1694329131631
6Juventus17710028131531
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese177282126-523
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como173681830-1215
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza171791523-810


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