Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 50.11%. A win for Como had a probability of 24.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Como win was 0-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Como |
50.11% ( -2.67) | 24.9% ( 0.48) | 24.98% ( 2.2) |
Both teams to score 52.11% ( 0.94) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.67% ( 0.06) | 50.33% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.73% ( 0.06) | 72.27% ( -0.05) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.9% ( -1.05) | 20.09% ( 1.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.66% ( -1.71) | 52.34% ( 1.71) |
Como Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.21% ( 2.01) | 34.78% ( -2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.48% ( 2.06) | 71.51% ( -2.06) |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC | Draw | Como |
1-0 @ 11.21% ( -0.4) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 9% ( -0.63) 3-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.24) 3-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.51) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.28) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.76% Total : 50.11% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.9% | 0-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.44) 0-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.39) 1-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.27) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.2) Other @ 2.11% Total : 24.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |