Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 48.07%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Como had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Como win it was 0-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Como |
48.07% ( -0.53) | 26.13% ( 0.24) | 25.8% ( 0.29) |
Both teams to score 49.2% ( -0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.49% ( -0.71) | 54.51% ( 0.71) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.14% ( -0.6) | 75.86% ( 0.6) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.31% ( -0.54) | 22.69% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.66% ( -0.8) | 56.34% ( 0.8) |
Como Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.64% ( -0.14) | 36.35% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.86% ( -0.15) | 73.14% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Como |
1-0 @ 12.23% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.91% Total : 48.07% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.86% Total : 25.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
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