Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 35.92%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.63%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-0 (11.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
-0.35) 
0.2) 
