Serie A | Gameweek 15
Dec 7, 2024 at 5pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Juventus2 - 2Bologna
We said: Juventus 1-0 Bologna
Bologna have won three of their first seven away games this season, but stubborn Juventus are one of a trio of teams still unbeaten across Europe's top five leagues. It should be a close-fought contest in Turin, with Thiago Motta just finding a way to defeat his old club and end Juve's wait for a win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 51.35%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 22.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Juventus | Draw | Bologna |
51.35% ( 0.32) | 26.49% ( -0.03) | 22.16% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 44.65% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
