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Serie A | Gameweek 11
Nov 3, 2024 at 2pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Fiorentina logo

Torino
0 - 1
Fiorentina


Ilic (67'), Ricci (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kean (41')
Bove (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Torino and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 1-0 Torino
Thursday, October 31 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 0-1 Fiorentina
Thursday, October 31 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Torino 1-1 Fiorentina

Although Torino have begun to falter, they have still lost only one Serie A home game this season, against top-five contenders Lazio. So, if the hosts can keep in-form Fiorentina at arm's length and avoid defensive mistakes, a precious point could be theirs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 52.78%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Torino had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Torino win it was 1-0 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Fiorentina in this match.

Result
TorinoDrawFiorentina
22.3% (-0.093 -0.09) 24.92% (-0.394 -0.39) 52.78% (0.486 0.49)
Both teams to score 49.11% (1.021 1.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.18% (1.408 1.41)52.82% (-1.409 -1.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.56% (1.191 1.19)74.44% (-1.191 -1.19)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.38% (0.701 0.7)38.62% (-0.702 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.64% (0.662 0.66)75.36% (-0.66199999999999 -0.66)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.01% (0.75699999999999 0.76)19.99% (-0.758 -0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.83% (1.207 1.21)52.17% (-1.208 -1.21)
Score Analysis
    Torino 22.3%
    Fiorentina 52.77%
    Draw 24.92%
TorinoDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 7.35% (-0.27 -0.27)
2-1 @ 5.63% (0.036 0.04)
2-0 @ 3.49% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-1 @ 1.78% (0.045 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.44% (0.068 0.07)
3-0 @ 1.11% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 22.3%
1-1 @ 11.82% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 7.72% (-0.439 -0.44)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.134 0.13)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 24.92%
0-1 @ 12.42% (-0.41 -0.41)
0-2 @ 10% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 9.52% (0.101 0.1)
0-3 @ 5.37% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
1-3 @ 5.11% (0.171 0.17)
2-3 @ 2.43% (0.126 0.13)
0-4 @ 2.16% (0.082 0.08)
1-4 @ 2.06% (0.115 0.12)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 52.77%

How you voted: Torino vs Fiorentina

Torino
27.4%
Draw
22.6%
Fiorentina
50.0%
124
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Torino
0-0
Fiorentina
Juric (8'), Ricci (45+5'), Juric (45+6')
Ricci (45+7'), Juric (90')
Ranieri (7'), Beltran (41'), Arthur (45+7'), Barak (83')
Dec 29, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 18
Fiorentina
1-0
Torino
Ranieri (83')
Biraghi (24'), Kayode (68'), Ranieri (75'), Ikone (87')

Ricci (55'), Djidji (89')
May 21, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 36
Torino
1-1
Fiorentina
Sanabria (66')
Singo (60')
Jovic (48')
Mandragora (19'), Bianco (77')
Feb 1, 2023 5pm
Quarter-Finals
Fiorentina
2-1
Torino
Jovic (65'), Ikone (90')
Karamoh (90+3')
Jan 21, 2023 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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