Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Torino had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Torino win was 0-1 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.
Result | ||
Cagliari | Draw | Torino |
37.7% ( -0.13) | 27.04% ( -0.09) | 35.26% ( 0.21) |
Both teams to score 50.72% ( 0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.41% ( 0.36) | 54.58% ( -0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.07% ( 0.3) | 75.92% ( -0.3) |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.96% ( 0.1) | 28.04% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.31% ( 0.13) | 63.69% ( -0.13) |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.49% ( 0.31) | 29.51% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.47% ( 0.38) | 65.52% ( -0.38) |
Score Analysis |
Cagliari | Draw | Torino |
1-0 @ 10.52% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 37.7% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.95% Total : 27.04% | 0-1 @ 10.09% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.84% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.47% Total : 35.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
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