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Serie A | Gameweek 4
Sep 15, 2024 at 5pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Napoli logo

Cagliari
0 - 4
Napoli


Mina (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Di Lorenzo (18'), Kvaratskhelia (66'), Lukaku (70'), Buongiorno (90+3')
Lobotka (42'), Lukaku (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 1-0 Cagliari
Saturday, August 31 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 2-1 Parma
Saturday, August 31 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Cagliari 1-1 Napoli

Even if Napoli are starting to take shape under the demanding management of Antonio Conte, their hosts are set to put up strong resistance and could hold out for a point. Cagliari can be tough customers on home turf, and their forwards will pose a real threat to the Azzurri's new three-man back line. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 49.31%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawNapoli
25.69% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07) 24.99% (0.046999999999997 0.05) 49.31% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Both teams to score 52.52% (-0.215 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.89% (-0.251 -0.25)50.11% (0.247 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.92% (-0.224 -0.22)72.07% (0.21899999999999 0.22)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.93% (-0.199 -0.2)34.06% (0.192 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.25% (-0.213 -0.21)70.74% (0.206 0.21)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.66% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)20.34% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.27% (-0.142 -0.14)52.73% (0.137 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 25.69%
    Napoli 49.31%
    Draw 24.99%
CagliariDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 7.46% (0.035 0.04)
2-1 @ 6.4% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.44% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 25.69%
1-1 @ 11.88% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.93% (0.069 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.1% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.99%
0-1 @ 11.03% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.79% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 5.02% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.66% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.86% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.08% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 49.31%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Napoli

Cagliari
12.0%
Draw
16.0%
Napoli
72.0%
75
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 26
Cagliari
1-1
Napoli
Luvumbo (90+6')
Lapadula (36'), Luvumbo (48'), Nandez (68'), Deiola (86')
Osimhen (65')
Olivera (90+1')
Dec 16, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
Napoli
2-1
Cagliari
Osimhen (69'), Kvaratskhelia (75')
Osimhen (45'), Rrahmani (45+4'), Rui (85'), Politano (88'), Zambo Anguissa (90+1')
Pavoletti (72')
Goldaniga (45+2'), Pavoletti (45+2'), Augello (63')
Feb 21, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 26
Cagliari
1-1
Napoli
Pereiro (58')
Pedro (35')
Osimhen (87')
Malcuit (42'), Koulibaly (64')
Sep 26, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Napoli
2-0
Cagliari
Osimhen (11'), Insigne (57' pen.)
Osimhen (66'), Elmas (76')
May 2, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 34
Napoli
1-1
Cagliari
Osimhen (13')
Demme (56')
Nandez (90+4')
Godin (32'), Deiola (34'), Pavoletti (46')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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