FA Cup | Fourth Round Qualifying
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. George's Stadium
Wealdstone4 - 1Gosport Borough
Coverage of the FA Cup Fourth Round Qualifying clash between Wealdstone and Gosport Borough.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gateshead 1-0 Wealdstone
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Oxford City 2-3 Gosport Borough
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for Gosport Borough had a probability of 28.87% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Gosport Borough win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wealdstone would win this match.
Result | ||
Wealdstone | Draw | Gosport Borough |
47.13% ( 0.02) | 24% ( 0) | 28.87% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 58.35% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.38% ( -0.02) | 43.62% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.98% ( -0.02) | 66.01% ( 0.02) |
Wealdstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.33% ( -0) | 18.67% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50% ( -0) | 50% ( 0.01) |
Gosport Borough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.75% ( -0.02) | 28.25% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.04% ( -0.03) | 63.96% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Wealdstone 47.13%
Gosport Borough 28.87%
Draw 23.99%
Wealdstone | Draw | Gosport Borough |
2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.25% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.16% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.2% 4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 3.39% Total : 47.13% | 1-1 @ 11.18% 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.99% | 1-2 @ 7.07% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.67% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.21% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 28.87% |
Form Guide
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Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 28 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 23 |
3 | Chelsea | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 22 |
4 | Arsenal | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 22 |
5 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 22 |
6 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 13 | 14 | 19 |
7 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Aston Villa | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
9 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
10 | Fulham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
11 | Brentford | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 17 |
12 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Bournemouth | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 15 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
15 | Everton | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 11 |
16 | Leicester CityLeicester | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 10 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 9 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
20 | Southampton | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 4 |
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