Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 20, 2023 at 8.45pm UK
Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Vilar de Perdizes0 - 2Porto
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Porto 1-0 Portimonense
Sunday, October 8 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, October 8 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Vilar de Perdizes 0-4 Porto
Even though Porto are likely to give several squad players the chance to start Friday's cup tie, they have enough strength-in-depth to claim a comfortable victory over their fourth-tier opponents. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 87.56%. A draw had a probability of 8.9% and a win for Vilar de Perdizes had a probability of 3.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-3 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.47%) and 0-4 (10.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.23%), while for a Vilar de Perdizes win it was 1-0 (1.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vilar de Perdizes | Draw | Porto |
3.55% ( -0.12) | 8.89% ( -0.09) | 87.56% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 39.58% ( -0.89) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
