Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3

Aug 27, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
2 - 0
Vizela

Silva (59'), Mendes (72')
Carlos (64')
Santos (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Guillermo Bustamante Cantillo (22'), Escoval (38'), Pereira (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Vizela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Guimaraes 2-1 Gil Vicente
Saturday, August 19 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Vizela

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Vizela 2-2 Arouca
Sunday, August 20 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-1 Vizela

Guimaraes have contended with managerial uncertainty to win their opening two league games, and with a new head coach now in place, we think that they will maintain their 100% start to the season by claiming a narrow win over Vizela. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 46.82%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 26.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (8.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Vizela
46.82% ( 0.07)	26.6% ( -0.04)	26.59% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 48.48% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.24% (

0.11)

55.76% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.1% (

0.09)

76.9% (

-0.09)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.19% (

0.08)

23.81% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.02% (

0.11)

57.98% (

-0.11)

Vizela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.63% (

0.04)

36.37% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.84% (

0.04)

73.16% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 46.81%

Vizela 26.59%

Draw 26.59%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Vizela
1-0 @ 12.42% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.92% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 46.81%	1-1 @ 12.56% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.59%	0-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.36% 0-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0) Other @ 1.87% Total : 26.59%