Primeira Liga | Gameweek 2

Aug 20, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Do Vizela

Vizela
2 - 2
Arouca

Samu (9' pen.), Essende (88')
Moreira (37'), Pereira (45+6'), Wilson (45+8'), Anderson (45'), Samu (89'), Ortiz (90+6'), Andre Santos Nascimento (90+6')
Silva (57')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Cristo (39'), Mujica (64')
Esgaio (42'), Cristo (45+6'), Sylla (45+2'), Santos (45+8'), Quaresma (74'), Busquets (83')
Rocha (8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Vizela and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vizela

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-2 Vizela
Saturday, August 12 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Arouca

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Brann 3-1 Arouca
Thursday, August 17 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Vizela will certainly be the fresher of the two teams entering this match, but it remains to be seen how important that is early in the season. Arouca have the superior quality across their pitch, and we are expecting the visitors to navigate their way to all three points on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Vizela	Draw	Arouca
41.75% ( 0.34)	27.1% ( 0.02)	31.15% ( -0.36)

Both teams to score 49.6% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.43% (

-0.19)

55.57% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.26% (

-0.16)

76.74% (

0.16)

Vizela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.75% (

0.09)

26.25% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.64% (

0.13)

61.36% (

-0.13)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.26% (

-0.36)

32.74% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.7% (

-0.4)

69.3% (

0.4)

Score Analysis

Vizela 41.74%

Arouca 31.15%

Draw 27.09%

Vizela	Draw	Arouca
1-0 @ 11.49% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.17% Total : 41.74%	1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.09%	0-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.17% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.59% Total : 31.15%